MULTIMODAL urban transport: integrated modelling and simulation towards net-zero, inclusive mobility

多式联运城市交通：综合建模和模拟，实现净零、包容性交通

• 批准号: MR/X03500X/1
• 负责人: Haitao He
• 金额: $ 159.4万
• 依托单位: Loughborough University
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Fellowship
• 财政年份: 2024
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2024 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=MR%2FX03500X%2F1
• 关键词: MULTIMODAL; urban; transport; integrated; modelling

Domestic transport is the UK's highest emission sector, and congestion in cities is costly (e.g. London £5.1bn in 2021). Drastically reducing urban car dominance is imperative to reach the UK's 2050 net-zero target, but also an unparalleled opportunity to create more equitable, inclusive and accessible cities of the future across the country. Recent UK investments of approximately £15bn seek to radically transform urban mobility and modality: £2bn for half of urban journeys to be cycled/walked by 2030 (e.g., cycle lanes, mini-Holland schemes), £5.7bn City Region Sustainable Transport Settlements (e.g., Manchester bus and cycle schemes), and £7bn to level up local bus services.To realise full investment potential, and develop holistic adoption pathways towards net-zero, inclusive mobility, multimodal transport must be effectively planned, managed and operated, with people and their differences as a core consideration. This is challenging for a complex system-of-systems. On the supply side, modes compete for limited road space on shared infrastructure, creating conflicts. On the demand side, modes complement each other in intermodal journeys, jointly influencing uptake. For example, cycle lanes promote cycling, but may impact road speeds and exacerbate congestion and pollution, highlighting the need to evaluate person-level mobility and system-level emissions. A recent survey reported two-thirds of disabled respondents finding cycling easier than walking, highlighting the need to consider the broad disability spectrum and the potential for cycle lanes to improve access for all. Therefore, holistically optimising cycle lane schemes, as with all multimodal schemes, requires integrated methodologies: fully capturing multimodal transport systems' distributed and interconnected processes, the complexities of modal competition and complementarity, and the heterogeneity of traffic and population.My research will overcome these research challenges and develop the first multiscale digital twin for the transport-people-emission nexus using a truly integrated approach to model and simulate multimodal urban transport, advancing and coalescing my adventurous research in multimodality, using traffic flow theory, agent-based modelling, and machine learning. This will enable the development of holistic adoption pathways towards net-zero, inclusive mobility through scenario testing and optimisation, with guidance and recommendations to support implementation. Leading a strong consortium of 3 cities and 12 partners, covering the entire multimodal transport value chain, I will collaboratively exploit the digital twin to realise UK strategic agendas: net-zero; Equity, Diversity and Inclusivity (EDI); and levelling-up. By holistically enhancing mobility for everyone, my Fellowship also will propel the Green Revolution for economic growth, leveraging the net-zero mission to unlock new business opportunities, and establish the UK as a global leader in digital technologies to tackle climate change. I will deliver a strong positive impact on making net-zero a net win for people, industry, the UK, and the planet, thereby enabling both me and the UK to become world leaders in multimodal urban transport, at the forefront of research and innovation.

国内交通是英国排放量最高的行业，城市拥堵成本高昂（例如，2021年伦敦将达到51亿英镑）。为了实现英国2050年的净零排放目标，必须大力减少城市汽车的主导地位，但这也是在全国范围内创造更公平，包容和可访问的未来城市的无与伦比的机会。英国最近投资约150亿英镑，试图从根本上改变城市交通和模式：到2030年，将有20亿英镑用于一半的城市旅行，例如骑自行车/步行。自行车道，迷你荷兰计划），57亿英镑的城市地区可持续交通定居点（例如，为了充分发挥投资潜力，并发展实现零净、包容性流动的整体采用途径，多式联运必须有效规划、管理和运营，并将人及其差异作为核心考虑因素。这对于一个复杂的系统来说是一个挑战。在供应方面，各种交通工具在共享基础设施上争夺有限的道路空间，从而产生冲突。在需求方面，各种模式在多式联运旅行中相互补充，共同影响吸收。例如，自行车道促进骑自行车，但可能影响道路速度，加剧拥堵和污染，突出表明需要评估个人层面的流动性和系统层面的排放。最近的一项调查报告说，三分之二的残疾人受访者认为骑自行车比步行容易，这突出表明需要考虑广泛的残疾范围和自行车道改善所有人无障碍的潜力。因此，与所有多式联运方案一样，全面优化自行车道方案需要综合方法：充分把握多式联运系统的分散和相互关联的过程，以及运输方式竞争和互补的复杂性，以及交通和人口的异质性。我的研究将克服这些研究挑战，并为交通-人-使用真正集成的方法来建模和模拟多式联运城市交通，推进和合并我在多模态方面的冒险研究，使用交通流理论，基于代理的建模和机器学习。这将通过场景测试和优化，以及支持实施的指导和建议，为实现净零，包容性移动性开发整体采用途径。我将领导一个由3个城市和12个合作伙伴组成的强大联盟，涵盖整个多式联运价值链，共同利用数字孪生模型来实现英国的战略议程：净零;公平，多样性和包容性（EDI）;以及水平化。通过全面提高每个人的流动性，我的奖学金还将推动经济增长的绿色革命，利用净零使命来释放新的商业机会，并将英国建立为应对气候变化的数字技术的全球领导者。“我将发挥强大的积极影响，使净零成为人们，工业，英国和地球的净胜利，从而使我和英国成为多式联运城市交通的世界领导者，处于研究和创新的前沿。