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Influence of energetic particle precipitation and meteorology on NOx and ozone variability in the Arctic middle atmosphere

高能粒子降水和气象对北极中层大气中氮氧化物和臭氧变化的影响

基本信息

批准号：
NE/I016767/1
负责人：
David Newnham
金额：
$ 6.52万
依托单位：
British Antarctic Survey
依托单位国家：
英国
项目类别：
Research Grant
财政年份：
2011
资助国家：
英国
起止时间：
2011 至无数据
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=NE%2FI016767%2F1
关键词：
Influence energetic particle precipitation meteorology

项目摘要

Predicting future climate change is intimately linked to understanding what is happening to the climate system in the present, and in the recent past. Studies in the Polar Regions provide vital clues in our understanding of global climate, and early indications of changes arising from the coupling of natural processes, such as variability in the amount of energy from the Sun reaching the Earth, and man-made factors. For example, the polar winter provides the extreme cold, dark conditions in the atmosphere which, combined with chemicals released from man-made chlorofluorocarbon (CFC) gases, has led to destruction of the ozone layer 18-25 km above the ground every spring-time since the 1980's. The Southern hemisphere ozone 'hole' is now linked to observed changes in surface temperature and sea-ice across Antarctica, decreased uptake of carbon dioxide by the Southern Ocean, and perturbations to the atmospheric circulation that can affect weather patterns as far away as the Northern hemisphere. Ozone loss over the Arctic is generally lower and much more variable, but there is increasing evidence that different meteorology in this region can lead to interactions between regions of the atmosphere from the ground to over 100 km up, on the edge of space. Recovery of the ozone layer is expected now that CFC's are banned by international protocols, but this may be delayed by other greenhouse gases we are releasing into the atmosphere and natural processes such as changes in the Sun's output. Although the total amount of energy as sunlight changes by a small amount (~0.1%) over the typical 11-year solar cycle, the energetic particles - electrons and protons - streaming from the Sun changes dramatically on timescales from hours to years. These particles are guided by the Earth's magnetic field and can enter the upper atmosphere, most intensely over the Polar Regions. A visible effect is the aurora, but the particles can significantly modify the chemistry of the atmosphere down to the ozone layer. Powerful solar storms can also damage satellites and disrupt electrical power networks. However the mechanisms by which energetic particles generated by the Sun enter the Earth's atmosphere, and the complex, interacting processes that affect stratospheric ozone are not well understood, which limits our ability to accurately predict future ozone changes and impacts on climate. We propose answering major unresolved questions about energetic particle effects on ozone by making observations of the middle atmosphere from the prestigious ALOMAR facility in northern Norway. This location, close to the Arctic Circle, is directly under the main region where energetic particles enter the atmosphere, making it ideal to observe the resulting effects. We will install a state-of-the-art microwave radiometer there alongside other equipment run by scientists from all round the world. By analysing the microwaves naturally emitted by the atmosphere high above us we can work out how much ozone there is 30-90 km above the ground as well as measuring chemicals produced in the atmosphere by energetic particles. We will make observations throughout a complete Arctic winter (2011/12) and interpret them with the help of data from orbiting spacecraft measuring the energetic particles entering the atmosphere. We will use the Arctic observations and computer-based models to better understand the impact of energetic particles on the atmosphere. The ultimate goal is to further understanding of the processes that lead to climate variability in the Polar Regions and globally - highly relevant for UK environmental science, the BAS programme, and collaborative research at an international level in which BAS plays a key role.

预测未来的气候变化与了解现在和最近的气候系统发生了什么密切相关。极地研究为我们了解全球气候提供了重要线索，并为我们了解自然过程（例如太阳到达地球的能量的变化）与人为因素结合而产生的变化提供了早期迹象。例如，极地冬季在大气中提供了极端寒冷、黑暗的条件，这与人造氯氟烃（CFC）气体释放的化学物质相结合，导致自20世纪80年代以来每年春季地面以上18-25公里处的臭氧层遭到破坏。南半球的臭氧“洞”现在与观测到的南极洲表面温度和海冰的变化、南大洋二氧化碳吸收量的减少以及大气环流的扰动有关，而大气环流的扰动可以影响到远至北方的天气模式。北极上空的臭氧损失一般较低，变化也大得多，但越来越多的证据表明，这一区域的不同气象可导致从地面到100公里以上高空空间边缘的大气区域之间的相互作用。由于国际议定书禁止使用氟氯化碳，臭氧层有望恢复，但这可能会被我们释放到大气中的其他温室气体和自然过程（如太阳输出的变化）所推迟。虽然在典型的11年太阳周期中，太阳光的总能量变化很小（约0.1%），但从太阳流出的高能粒子-电子和质子-在从数小时到数年的时间尺度上发生了巨大的变化。这些粒子由地球磁场引导，可以进入高层大气，在极地地区最强烈。一个可见的效果是极光，但颗粒可以显着改变大气层的化学物质，直到臭氧层。强大的太阳风暴也会破坏卫星和破坏电力网络。然而，人们对太阳产生的高能粒子进入地球大气层的机制以及影响平流层臭氧的复杂、相互作用的过程并不十分了解，这限制了我们准确预测未来臭氧变化和对气候影响的能力。我们建议回答主要悬而未决的问题，高能粒子对臭氧的影响，从著名的ALOMAR设施在北方挪威的中层大气观测。这个位置靠近北极圈，直接位于高能粒子进入大气层的主要区域下方，因此非常适合观察由此产生的影响。我们将在那里安装一台最先进的微波辐射计，以及由世界各地科学家操作的其他设备。通过分析我们上空大气层自然发射的微波，我们可以计算出地面以上30-90公里处有多少臭氧，并测量高能粒子在大气中产生的化学物质。我们将在整个北极冬季（2011/12）进行观测，并借助轨道航天器测量进入大气层的高能粒子的数据进行解释。我们将利用北极观测和计算机模型更好地了解高能粒子对大气的影响。最终目标是进一步了解导致极地地区和全球气候变化的过程-与英国环境科学，BAS计划以及BAS发挥关键作用的国际合作研究高度相关。