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Integrated Analysis of Freshwater Resources Sustainability in Jordan

约旦淡水资源可持续性综合分析

基本信息

批准号：
NE/L009285/2
负责人：
Julien Harou
金额：
$ 23.6万
依托单位：
University of Manchester
依托单位国家：
英国
项目类别：
Research Grant
财政年份：
2014
资助国家：
英国
起止时间：
2014 至无数据
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=NE%2FL009285%2F2
关键词：
Integrated Analysis Freshwater Resources Sustainability

项目摘要

This proposed effort will focus on development of an integrated framework to evaluate water policyinterventions in water-stressed countries using Jordan as a model system. Jordan is representative ofmany arid regions where future natural and social changes set the stage for nationwide water supplyfailures. Existing water resources models ignore critical interactions between hydrologic andsocioeconomic components, resulting in a lack of holistic analysis needed to make long-term policydecisions. Our interdisciplinary team will develop a quantitative policy-evaluation tool to explore ways toenhance the sustainability of freshwater systems through such innovations as optimized allocationprocedures, institutional re-structuring, subsidies/tariffs, water-lease markets, and transboundaryinstitutions. We will construct a modular, agent-based hydroeconomic model in which each modulecaptures scientific and local knowledge from a unique discipline synthesizing hydrologic, agronomic, andsocioeconomic analysis into a coherent analytical framework. The modules will be linked throughfeedbacks among system components. The policy-evaluation model will combine simulation of naturalphenomena (groundwater-surface water flow, crop yield, and soil / water salinity) with humandecision-making at the institutional and user levels (water usage, regulation, allocation, transboundarywater, and trade). We will evaluate a wide range of policy interventions based on a set of quantitativeeconomic and environmental metrics. In addition to developing a new tool for water policy analysis, theproject aims to identify innovative policy solutions for a water system that has exhausted traditionalsupply sources and is operating at the vulnerable edge. Our analysis of risks and benefits associatedwith policy solutions will be assessed, and management options communicated to stakeholders who willbe actively solicited for input. The project will further set the groundwork for deploying the integratedframework to other water-stressed regions throughout the globe.

这项拟议的工作将侧重于开发一个综合框架，以约旦作为模型系统来评估缺水国家的水政策干预措施。约旦是许多干旱地区的代表，这些地区未来的自然和社会变化为全国供水失败奠定了基础。现有的水资源模型忽略了水文和社会经济组成部分之间的关键相互作用，导致缺乏制定长期政策决策所需的整体分析。我们的跨学科团队将开发定量政策评估工具，探索通过优化分配程序、机构重组、补贴/关税、水租赁市场和跨境机构等创新来增强淡水系统可持续性的方法。我们将构建一个基于代理的模块化水文经济模型，其中每个模块都从独特的学科中获取科学和当地知识，将水文、农艺和社会经济分析综合到一个连贯的分析框架中。这些模块将通过系统组件之间的反馈进行链接。政策评估模型将把自然现象（地下水-地表水流、作物产量和土壤/水盐度）的模拟与机构和用户层面的人类决策（用水、监管、分配、跨界水和贸易）结合起来。我们将根据一系列定量经济和环境指标评估广泛的政策干预措施。除了开发用于水政策分析的新工具外，该项目还旨在为已经耗尽传统供应来源并在脆弱边缘运行的水系统确定创新的政策解决方案。我们将评估与政策解决方案相关的风险和收益分析，并将管理方案传达给利益相关者，并积极征求利益相关者的意见。该项目将为将综合框架部署到全球其他缺水地区进一步奠定基础。

项目成果

期刊论文数量（10）

专著数量（0）

科研奖励数量（0）

会议论文数量（0）

专利数量（0）

Unexpected growth of an illegal water market

非法水市场的意外增长

DOI：
发表时间：
2023
期刊：
Nature Sustainability
影响因子：
27.6
作者：
Klassert, Christian;Yoon, Jim;Sigel, Katja;Klauer, Bernd;Talozi, Samer;Lachaut, Thibaut;Selby, Philip;Knox, Stephen;Avisse, Nicolas;Tilmant, Amaury
通讯作者：
Tilmant, Amaury

Simulating Water Allocation and Cropping Decisions in Yemen's Abyan Delta Spate Irrigation System

模拟也门阿比扬三角洲洪水灌溉系统的水分配和耕作决策

DOI：
10.3390/w10020121
发表时间：
2018
期刊：
Water
影响因子：
3.4
作者：
Marchant D
通讯作者：
Marchant D

A coupled human-natural system analysis of freshwater security under climate and population change.

DOI：
10.1073/pnas.2020431118
发表时间：
2021-04-06
期刊：
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
影响因子：
11.1
作者：
Yoon J;Klassert C;Selby P;Lachaut T;Knox S;Avisse N;Harou J;Tilmant A;Klauer B;Mustafa D;Sigel K;Talozi S;Gawel E;Medellín-Azuara J;Bataineh B;Zhang H;Gorelick SM
通讯作者：
Gorelick SM

A python framework for multi-agent simulation of networked resource systems