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GCRF Living Deltas Hub

GCRF 三角洲生活中心

基本信息

批准号：
NE/S008926/1
负责人：
Andrew Large
金额：
$ 1947.9万
依托单位：
Newcastle University
依托单位国家：
英国
项目类别：
Research Grant
财政年份：
2019
资助国家：
英国
起止时间：
2019 至无数据
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=NE%2FS008926%2F1
关键词：
GCRF Living Deltas Hub

项目摘要

River deltas comprise only 1% of global landscapes, yet support over half a billion people. Deltas are tightly coupled social-ecological systems (SESs), but human exploitation, environmental degradation and threats from climate change increasingly threaten these delicate interfaces between land and water. The intractable development challenge addressed by this bid is how to avoid the collapse of South and SE Asian deltas as functioning, highly productive social-ecological systems in the face of human development and the projected consequences of climate change. The proposed Living Deltas Hub focuses on the delta SESs of three major rivers in South and Southeast Asia: the Red River and Mekong (Vietnam) and Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna (GBM: Bangladesh, India). Deltas form part of wider river basins and so the Hub will also engage with other riparian country researchers, in Thailand, Cambodia, Laos and Myanmar. The stakes for the project are clear: 70% of the Mekong delta is highly vulnerable to flooding with 7 million people at risk. Sea level rise in Bangladesh could displace between 3 and 13 million by 2100. SE-Asian mega-deltas produce 88% of the world's rice, but the 98cm of sea level rise predicted under IPCC AR5 (2014) would render 16% of arable land in Bangladesh and 25% in Vietnam unusable by 2100. Upstream damming and sediment retention is also a major threat, with resulting delta subsidence putting 12 million people in 23 Asian cities at risk from water inundation.As human impacts increase, the need for locally-rooted sustainable development strategies underpinned by traditional knowledge becomes ever greater. The GCRF Living Deltas Hub will co-develop the transdisciplinary frameworks needed to understand delta SESs, and will work with delta-dwellers and policymakers to develop solutions that can help realise the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in delta contexts. The Hub is novel - no other existing or previous international delta initiative has specifically addressed the SDGs by co-creating new natural and cultural heritage understandings of deltas. It is timely, as it addresses the crucial challenges of SE Asian delta degradation early in the lifespan of the SDGs and so contributes to the development of SDG monitoring and planning - globally and regionally, as well as in country contexts. The Hub is innovative as it emphasizes transdisciplinary integration of the earth and life sciences, social sciences, humanities and arts, to address these common challenges The Hub will operate on a model of 'equitable partnership', involving delta-dwellers and the research community in developing knowledge and policy for better delta futures. The Hub comprises six innovative work packages co-developed with Global South partners and research institutes addressing specific in-country and delta-scale needs. Its new knowledge will serve to build capacity and shape policy at local, national, regional and global levels. The Hub will have lasting impact through improved livelihoods and more resilient communities, sustainable management and conservation, improved monitoring of SDG indicators and better policies for sustainable development.The Hub brings together a transdisciplinary team of experts and practitioners from Global 'North' and 'South'. Hub strengths are in: coupled human and natural systems analyses; demography and international development; natural hazard modelling and coastal resilience; environmental monitoring and modelling; policy and practice of resource management, hazard, risk and resilience; SDG-focused analyses of delta systems and their vulnerability to hazards; justice and governance; behavioral finance; delta nutrition and food security; and gender-sensitive research. Working together with stakeholders from delta countries, the research team have the knowledge, expertise and track record to build new understandings of delta change, new partnerships, and new solutions.

河流三角洲仅占全球景观的1%，但却供养着超过5亿人。三角洲是紧密耦合的社会生态系统，但人类开发、环境退化和气候变化的威胁日益威胁着这些土地和水之间的微妙界面。这一努力所解决的棘手的发展挑战是，如何避免南亚和东南亚三角洲在人类发展和气候变化的预期后果面前作为功能强大、生产力高的社会生态系统崩溃。拟议中的Living Deltas Hub重点关注南亚和东南亚三条主要河流的三角洲SES：红河和湄公河（越南）以及恒河-布拉马普特拉-梅克纳（GBM：孟加拉国，印度）。三角洲是更广泛的河流流域的一部分，因此该中心还将与泰国、柬埔寨、老挝和缅甸的其他河岸国家研究人员合作。该项目的利害关系是显而易见的：湄公河三角洲70%的地区极易受到洪水的影响，700万人处于危险之中。到2100年，孟加拉国海平面上升可能导致300万至1300万人流离失所。东南亚大三角洲生产世界88%的大米，但IPCC AR 5（2014）预测的98厘米海平面上升将使孟加拉国16%的耕地和越南25%的耕地到2100年无法使用。上游筑坝和沉积物滞留也是一个主要威胁，由此造成的三角洲沉降使23个亚洲城市的1 200万人面临水淹没的危险，随着人类影响的增加，越来越需要以传统知识为基础的植根于当地的可持续发展战略。GCRF Living Deltas Hub将共同开发理解三角洲SES所需的跨学科框架，并将与三角洲居民和政策制定者合作，开发有助于在三角洲背景下实现联合国可持续发展目标（SDG）的解决方案。该枢纽是新颖的-没有其他现有或以前的国际三角洲倡议通过共同创造对三角洲的新的自然和文化遗产的理解来专门解决可持续发展目标。它是及时的，因为它解决了可持续发展目标生命周期早期东南亚三角洲退化的关键挑战，因此有助于全球和区域以及国家背景下可持续发展目标监测和规划的发展。该中心是创新的，因为它强调地球和生命科学，社会科学，人文和艺术的跨学科整合，以应对这些共同的挑战该中心将在“公平伙伴关系”的模式下运作，让三角洲居民和研究界参与开发知识和政策，以实现更好的三角洲未来。该中心包括与全球南方合作伙伴和研究机构共同开发的六个创新工作包，以满足国内和三角洲规模的具体需求。它的新知识将有助于在地方、国家、区域和全球各级建设能力和制定政策。该中心将通过改善生计和更具复原力的社区、可持续管理和保护、改善对可持续发展目标指标的监测以及更好的可持续发展政策，产生持久的影响。该中心汇集了来自全球“北方”和“南方”的跨学科专家和从业者团队。中心的优势在于：人类和自然系统耦合分析;人口与国际发展;自然灾害建模和沿海复原力;环境监测和建模;资源管理、灾害、风险和复原力的政策和实践;三角洲系统及其对灾害的脆弱性的可持续发展目标分析;正义与治理;行为金融;三角洲营养和粮食安全;以及对性别问题有敏感认识的研究。研究团队与三角洲国家的利益相关者合作，拥有知识，专业知识和跟踪记录，以建立对三角洲变化的新理解，新的伙伴关系和新的解决方案。