The interplay of land-use, climate and plant biodiversity on the UK stage

英国舞台上土地利用、气候和植物生物多样性的相互作用

• 批准号: NE/T004193/1
• 负责人: Richard Reeve
• 金额: $ 6.41万
• 依托单位: University of Glasgow
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Research Grant
• 财政年份: 2019
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2019 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=NE%2FT004193%2F1
• 关键词: interplay; land; use; climate; plant

Landscapes are composed of different habitats as well as the biodiversity that resides within them, and are a product of interactions between climate, geography and human use. They provide many ecosystem services, such as provision of food and water, regulation of climate and carbon cycling, which are vital for a stable future for our society, economy, health and wellbeing. It is now widely recognised that we are degrading the health of our landscapes through unsustainable use and long-term climate change, although it remains difficult to track these changes. In particular, plants form the basis of all terrestrial ecosystems, are fundamental to providing ecosystem services, absorb 20% of fossil fuel emissions; yet records on a third of plant species are so data deficient that formal assessments of extinction risk cannot be made. A key goal of the Aichi biodiversity targets set out by the Convention on Biological Diversity, sought to ensure the conservation of biodiversity through sustainable use of agriculture, forestry and fisheries and for which the UK is progressing at an insufficient rate to meet the 2020 deadline. Therefore, tools by which we assess current trends in plant biodiversity and explore the interaction with both environmental and land use are fundamental for ensuring the future of UK's plant systems. Current models of biodiversity use very coarse groupings of plants that lack the necessary level of detail to inform conservation planning and decision making. Here, we propose to extend a modelling framework that we have been developing over several years at a global scale to focus exclusively on plants of the UK, of which there are over 1,800 species, in order to take advantage of the higher resolution and qualitatively more detailed records available for climate, land use and plant species. These simulations will predict potential change in plant biodiversity patterns over time based on different land use and climate change scenarios, which can then be used to understand the impact of these changes and ultimately guide future landscape decision making.

景观由不同的栖息地以及其中的生物多样性组成，是气候、地理和人类利用之间相互作用的产物。它们提供许多生态系统服务，如提供食物和水，调节气候和碳循环，这对我们社会、经济、健康和福祉的稳定未来至关重要。现在人们普遍认识到，由于不可持续的利用和长期气候变化，我们正在使我们的景观健康退化，尽管仍然难以追踪这些变化。特别是，植物是所有陆地生态系统的基础，是提供生态系统服务的基础，吸收20%的化石燃料排放；然而，三分之一的植物物种的记录缺乏数据，以至于无法对灭绝风险进行正式评估。《生物多样性公约》制定的爱知生物多样性目标的一个关键目标是通过可持续利用农业、林业和渔业来确保生物多样性的保护，而英国在这方面的进展速度不足以满足2020年的最后期限。因此，我们评估植物生物多样性的当前趋势并探索与环境和土地利用的相互作用的工具是确保英国植物系统未来的基础。目前的生物多样性模型使用非常粗糙的植物分组，缺乏必要的细节来为保护规划和决策提供信息。在这里，我们建议扩展我们多年来在全球范围内开发的建模框架，专门关注英国的植物，其中有1800多种植物，以便利用更高的分辨率和质量上更详细的气候，土地利用和植物物种记录。这些模拟将预测基于不同土地利用和气候变化情景的植物生物多样性模式随时间的潜在变化，然后可以用来了解这些变化的影响，并最终指导未来的景观决策。

项目成果

Trends in the diversity of mortality causes and age-standardised mortality rates among subpopulations within Scotland, 2001-2019.

• DOI: 10.1016/j.ssmph.2022.101192
• 发表时间: 2022-09
• 期刊: SSM-POPULATION HEALTH
• 影响因子: 4.7
• 作者: McMonagle, Ciaran;Brown, Denise;Reeve, Richard;Mancy, Rebecca
• 通讯作者: Mancy, Rebecca

FAIR data pipeline: provenance-driven data management for traceable scientific workflows.

公平数据管道：可追溯的科学工作流程的出处驱动的数据管理。

• DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2021.0300
• 发表时间: 2022-10-03
• 期刊: PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES
• 影响因子: 5
• 作者: Mitchell, Sonia Natalie;Lahiff, Andrew;Cummings, Nathan;Hollocombe, Jonathan;Boskamp, Bram;Field, Ryan;Reddyhoff, Dennis;Zarebski, Kristian;Wilson, Antony;Viola, Bruno;Burke, Martin;Archibald, Blair;Bessell, Paul;Blackwell, Richard;Boden, Lisa A. A.;Brett, Alys;Brett, Sam;Dundas, Ruth;Enright, Jessica;Gonzalez-Beltran, Alejandra N. N.;Harris, Claire;Hinder, Ian;Hughes, Christopher David;Knight, Martin;Mano, Vino;McMonagle, Ciaran;Mellor, Dominic;Mohr, Sibylle;Marion, Glenn;Matthews, Louise;McKendrick, Iain J. J.;Pooley, Christopher Mark;Porphyre, Thibaud;Reeves, Aaron;Townsend, Edward;Turner, Robert;Walton, Jeremy;Reeve, Richard
• 通讯作者: Reeve, Richard

The challenges of data in future pandemics.

• DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100612
• 发表时间: 2022-09
• 期刊: EPIDEMICS
• 影响因子: 3.8
• 作者: Shadbolt, Nigel;Brett, Alys;Chen, Min;Marion, Glenn;McKendrick, Iain J.;Panovska-Griffiths, Jasmina;Pellis, Lorenzo;Reeve, Richard;Swallow, Ben
• 通讯作者: Swallow, Ben

Strong phylogenetic signals in global plant bioclimatic envelopes

• DOI: 10.1111/geb.13564
• 发表时间: 2022-07
• 期刊: Global Ecology and Biogeography
• 影响因子: 6.4
• 作者: C. Harris;N. Brummitt;C. Cobbold;R. Reeve