The ecological and evolutionary legacy of extreme climatic events for food web resilience

极端气候事件对食物网恢复力的生态和进化遗产

• 批准号: NE/X000451/1
• 负责人: Jonathan Bridle
• 金额: $ 18.31万
• 依托单位: University College London
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Research Grant
• 财政年份: 2023
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2023 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=NE%2FX000451%2F1
• 关键词: ecological; evolutionary; legacy; extreme; climatic

There is growing evidence that extreme events such as heatwaves, rather than increases in average temperatures, will have the most immediate and harmful effects on plants and animals. This is particularly true for species-rich tropical ecosystems, where recent heatwaves have already caused severe population crashes for some species.Most studies investigating the impact of extreme climatic events on biodiversity focus on individual species in isolation. However, natural communities are complex, interacting networks of species, linked by competition, mutualism, predation and parasitism. We therefore need to understand what happens when whole communities of interacting species are subjected to a heatwave or other extreme climatic event, and how these effects change depending on the duration and intensity of the event. How resilient will the surviving populations and species be in the longer term, when faced with further extremes? The answer is likely to depend on both ecological responses (changes in the abundance and interactions of different species depending on their ecological tolerances), and evolutionary processes (the evolution of novel tolerances through natural selection). To understand fully how and why ecological communities are altered by extreme events, we need to carry out experiments simulating extreme conditions and follow the consequences over multiple generations. In most contexts such experiments would be practically or ethically impossible. However, we can design experiments that do exactly this by focusing on a special study system: food webs of Drosophila fruit flies and the parasitic wasps that consume them. At our study site in the rainforests of tropical Queensland, Australia, these flies and wasps form discrete ecological communities within individual rotting fruits. They have short generation times, allowing us to observe community responses to climate extremes in real time. Australian tropical rainforests are a high-diversity ecosystem that is threatened by climate change, and we expect rainforest insects to be particularly vulnerable because they are already operating close to the upper limits of their thermal tolerances: modest further increases in temperatures could make populations and communities unviable. These characteristics make our study system ideal for understanding the resilience of ecological systems to extreme climatic events.In our experiments, we will use heating cables in the rainforest to simulate heatwave conditions that are expected to affect Australian rainforests in the coming decades. We will then investigate the ecologically and evolutionary responses of individual species and the food web of interactions among them to further perturbations. By challenging communities that have previously been subjected to heat waves with further heat waves, we will be able to test under what conditions climatic extremes make communities more or less resilient to future shocks and understand the ecological and evolutionary mechanisms that underpin community resilience.

越来越多的证据表明，像热浪这样的极端事件，而不是平均气温的升高，将对动植物产生最直接和有害的影响。对于物种丰富的热带生态系统来说尤其如此，在那里，最近的热浪已经导致一些物种的严重数量锐减。大多数调查极端气候事件对生物多样性影响的研究都集中在孤立的单个物种上。然而，自然群落是复杂的、相互作用的物种网络，通过竞争、互惠、捕食和寄生联系在一起。因此，我们需要了解当整个相互作用的物种群落遭受热浪或其他极端气候事件时会发生什么，以及这些影响如何根据事件的持续时间和强度而变化。从长远来看，当面临进一步的极端情况时，幸存的种群和物种的恢复能力如何？答案可能取决于生态反应（不同物种的丰度和相互作用取决于其生态耐受性的变化）和进化过程（通过自然选择进化出新的耐受性）。为了充分理解生态群落是如何以及为什么被极端事件改变的，我们需要进行模拟极端条件的实验，并跟踪几代人的后果。在大多数情况下，这样的实验在实践上或伦理上都是不可能的。然而，我们可以通过专注于一个特殊的研究系统来设计实验：果蝇的食物网和吃掉它们的寄生蜂。在我们位于澳大利亚昆士兰热带雨林的研究地点，这些苍蝇和黄蜂在单个腐烂的水果中形成了离散的生态群落。它们的生成时间很短，使我们能够实时观察社区对极端气候的反应。澳大利亚热带雨林是一个高度多样化的生态系统，受到气候变化的威胁，我们预计热带雨林的昆虫会特别脆弱，因为它们已经接近它们耐热性的上限：温度的适度进一步升高可能会使种群和社区无法生存。这些特征使我们的研究系统成为理解生态系统对极端气候事件的弹性的理想选择。在我们的实验中，我们将使用热带雨林中的加热电缆来模拟预计在未来几十年影响澳大利亚热带雨林的热浪条件。然后，我们将研究单个物种的生态和进化反应以及它们之间相互作用的食物网对进一步扰动的反应。通过用进一步的热浪挑战之前遭受热浪的社区，我们将能够测试在何种条件下极端气候使社区更或更少地适应未来的冲击，并了解支撑社区适应能力的生态和进化机制。