权益分类	功能权益	普通用户	{{item.name}}会员
{{category.name}}	{{benefitItem.name}}

Exploring low-carbon transition responses in the global oil industry

探索全球石油行业的低碳转型应对措施

基本信息

批准号：
1650313
负责人：
金额：
--
依托单位：
Imperial College London
依托单位国家：
英国
项目类别：
Studentship
财政年份：
2019
资助国家：
英国
起止时间：
2019 至无数据
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=studentship-1650313
关键词：
Exploring low carbon transition responses

项目摘要

"Meeting the Paris Agreement goal of stabilising the global temperature rise to "well-below" 2C will require reaching net-zero carbon dioxide emissions in the second half of this century. This means that the Oil & Gas industry must go through a deep transformation of their business models, including radical changes in their upstream and midstream processes and offset systems to compensate unavoidable carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. If some companies have already transitioned out of the petroleum products, most of the sector is just starting to wake up for the strategic challenges implied by this transition. Different mitigation strategies have been proposed, namely diversification of the core business models with large investments on renewable electricity, biogas, and advanced fuels for the transport sector, and compensation of unavoidable emissions with greenhouse gas removal technologies, mainly Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) and Carbon Capture, Usage and Storage (CCUS). While these first attempts are needed to set up an initial basis for discussions, it is necessary to understand the implications of mitigation strategies in a resource-constrained world, i.e., limits on carbon sink capacity, availability of land, water, minerals, available finance, conflicts with ecosystem services, among others. Understanding to what extent mitigation strategies of the petroleum sector can be put into practice without conflicting with other sustainable development goals, creating methodologies and tools to understands the cross-cutting impacts of the different strategies, including financial and social indicators (CAPEX, OPEX, return on equity, etc.) will be of extreme importance.This research will build on existing modelling frameworks developed by CDP's global work for the Oil & Gas sector. This includes the development of an analytical framework based on the science-based target methodology for the sector and frameworks that assess the ambitious of the sector in terms of investments, risk management, and GHG emissions. If successful, this research proposal will: 1) Compare the petroleum sector transition plans against the mitigation targets required to reach the Paris Agreement goal, identifying challenges on their practical implementation from a resource constraint and financial perspective; 2) Develop methodologies and analytical tools to assess the viability of those strategies in the light of other sustainable development goals beyond GHG mitigation; 3) Engage in dialogues with Oil & Gas representatives and trade associations in discussing their transition strategies; 4) Engage in Carbon Disclosure Project's (CDP) Technical Working Groups working on the science/based target setting and assessing low-carbon transition methodologies. This proposal will lead to an improved understanding of the accurate mitigation potentials of the Oil & Gas industry and the limitations within the planetary boundaries and conflicts with other sustainable development goals. The student should have strong interests in modelling work and sustainable development. This proposal requires a combination of quantitative and qualitative skills. It is anticipated that the student will spend at least 3 months at CDP London and/or other relevant offices. "

要实现《巴黎协定》将全球气温上升稳定在“远低于”2摄氏度的目标，就需要在本世纪后半叶实现二氧化碳净零排放。这意味着石油和天然气行业必须对其业务模式进行深刻的变革，包括彻底改变其上游和中游流程以及抵消系统，以补偿不可避免的二氧化碳（CO2）排放。如果一些公司已经过渡出石油产品，大多数行业才刚刚开始意识到这种过渡所带来的战略挑战。提出了不同的缓解战略，即核心商业模式多样化，对可再生电力、沼气和运输部门的先进燃料进行大量投资，并利用温室气体清除技术补偿不可避免的排放，主要是碳捕获和储存技术和碳捕获、使用和储存技术。虽然需要这些初步尝试为讨论奠定初步基础，但也有必要了解缓解战略在资源有限的世界中的影响，即，碳汇能力的限制、土地、水、矿物的可用性、可用资金、与生态系统服务的冲突等。了解石油部门的缓解战略在多大程度上可以付诸实施而不与其他可持续发展目标发生冲突，创造方法和工具，以了解不同战略的跨领域影响，包括财务和社会指标（资本支出、运营支出、股本回报率等）这项研究将建立在CDP为石油和天然气行业的全球工作开发的现有建模框架之上。这包括根据该部门基于科学的目标方法制定分析框架，以及评估该部门在投资、风险管理和温室气体排放方面的目标的框架。如果成功的话，这项研究提案将：1）将石油部门的过渡计划与实现《巴黎协定》目标所需的减缓目标进行比较，从资源限制和资金角度确定其实际执行方面的挑战; 2）制定方法和分析工具，根据温室气体减缓以外的其他可持续发展目标评估这些战略的可行性; 3）与石油和天然气代表和行业协会进行对话，讨论他们的过渡战略; 4）参与碳披露项目（CDP）技术工作组，致力于科学/基于目标的设定和评估低碳过渡方法。该提案将有助于更好地了解石油和天然气行业的准确缓解潜力以及地球界限内的限制以及与其他可持续发展目标的冲突。学生应该对建模工作和可持续发展有浓厚的兴趣。这项建议需要结合定量和定性的技能。预计学生将在CDP伦敦和/或其他相关办事处工作至少3个月。"