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Large scale water-management infrastructure in Central and South Asia - to what extent have policies been based on flawed or incomplete economic analy

中亚和南亚的大型水管理基础设施——政策在多大程度上是基于有缺陷或不完整的经济分析

基本信息

批准号：
1947519
负责人：
金额：
--
依托单位：
University of Cambridge
依托单位国家：
英国
项目类别：
Studentship
财政年份：
2017
资助国家：
英国
起止时间：
2017 至无数据
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=studentship-1947519
关键词：
Large scale water management infrastructure

项目摘要

To address today's freshwater challenge, governments are investing in large-scale infrastructure projects. Historically this has resulted in environmentalissues. In the 1960s the Aral Sea was drained for irrigation, undermining public health, the fishing industry and the environment. In the WesternHimalayas of India, Nepal and Bhutan, investments have sometimes been made in piped rather than traditional spring-fed systems, with potentiallynegative environmental consequences. In both cases plans to divert water was based on economic analyses. In the first case, a cost-benefit analysiswas undermined by omitting economic impacts on the environment. In the second case, cost-effectiveness was assessed, but often for just oneengineering option. Understanding the environmental economics behind water-management decisions taken under a spectrum of political regimes(authoritarian/democratic) will be critical to constructive engagement with governments on environmental issues. Subsequent insights from econometricanalysis and data collection on past projects can inform current plans, e.g. India's plan to divert the Ganges and Brahmaputra rivers. I will research theextent to which large-scale water management plans in Central and South Asia has been based on flawed economic analyses and if excludingenvironmental concerns has led to unexpected economic losses. I will also address how to best engage decision-makers in different political regimes(authoritarian and democratic).

为了应对当今的淡水挑战，各国政府正在投资大规模的基础设施项目。从历史上看，这导致了环境问题。1960年代，咸海被抽干用于灌溉，破坏了公共卫生、渔业和环境。在印度、尼泊尔和不丹的西喜马拉雅地区，有时投资于管道系统而不是传统的泉水灌溉系统，这可能会对环境产生负面影响。在这两种情况下，引水计划都是基于经济分析。在第一种情况下，成本效益分析因忽略对环境的经济影响而受到破坏。在第二种情况下，对成本效益进行了评估，但往往只是针对一种工程选择。了解在一系列政治制度（专制/民主）下做出的水管理决定背后的环境经济学，对于与政府就环境问题进行建设性接触至关重要。从过去项目的计量经济学分析和数据收集中获得的后续见解可以为当前的计划提供信息，例如印度将恒河和雅鲁藏布江改道的计划。我将研究中亚和南亚的大规模水管理计划在多大程度上是基于有缺陷的经济分析，以及排除环境问题是否导致了意外的经济损失。我还将讨论如何在不同的政治制度（专制和民主）中最好地参与决策者。