INVOLUNTARY MIGRATION IN CHINA'S THREE GORGES

描述（由申请人提供）：本研究旨在研究 非自愿移民对约200万中国人的短期影响 他们将因中国的三峡工程（TGP）而流离失所。具体目标 是： 1) 对 1,000 名样本进行移民前和移民后调查 移民和 500 名非移民用作对照； 2）衡量短期 强迫移民对移民经济、社会和心理的影响 福祉； 3) 对迁移前和迁移后进行多变量分析 流离失所者的经济、社会和心理福祉的变化 测试源自压力过程范式的假设，该模型具有 被广泛用于将被迫移民等压力源与经济、 社会和心理结果。使用多阶段分层抽样 技术，与 1,500 名成人样本大小成比例的概率将是 选自覆盖 79.3% 人口的地区 受项目影响。将进行面对面的结构化面试 迁移之前和之后的样本。移民影响将是 通过迁移前和迁移后结果变量的差异来衡量 移民，以非移民作为对照组。多变量分析 结果变量将使用差异模型以及 滞后Y-s回归模型，这两种模型都广泛用于面板数据 分析。

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): This research proposes to study the short-term impact of involuntary migration on approximately two million Chinese who would be displaced by China's Three Gorges Project (TGP). The specific aims are: 1) to conduct pre- and post-migration surveys of a sample of 1,000 migrants and 500 non-migrants used as controls; 2) to measure the short-term impact of forced migration on migrants' economic, social, and psychological well-being; and 3) to conduct multivariate analyses of pre- and post-migration changes in economic, social, and psychological well-being of the displaced to test hypotheses derived from the stress process paradigm, a model which has been used extensively to relate stressors such as forced migration to economic, social, and psychological outcomes. Using the multi-stage stratified sampling technique, a probability proportional to size sample of 1,500 adults will be selected from an area which covers 79.3 percent of the people that would be affected by the project. Face-to-face structured interviews will be conducted with the sample both before and after migration. Migration impact will be measured by pre- and post-migration differences in outcome variables for migrants, using non-migrants as the control group. Multivariate analyses of outcome variables will be performed using difference model as well as the lagged Y- s regressor model, both of which are widely used for panel data analysis.