CUPC Climate Change, Migration and Health Conference

描述（由申请人提供）：在了解气候变化对健康的影响方面正在取得重要进展——这是一个关键的研究“前沿”（Rohr and Dobson 2011）。这些影响在各个尺度上都是“广泛的”，包括间接和直接影响（Hales， Weinstein和Woodward 2011）。一个例子是降雨与疟疾之间联系的证据（Pascual, Dobson, and Bouma, 2009）。关于移民与气候联系的研究也在取得进展，最近的科学表明，由于国际和长途移民的成本很高，许多与环境有关的移民将是国内的或短途的（例如Gray， 2009）。即便如此，极端事件仍可能导致流离失所人数增加（Bardsley和Hugo 2010）。气候变化对健康的影响可能会影响移徙趋势，而气候变化对移徙的影响可能会影响健康。即便如此，这个交叉点还没有得到大量的研究关注。请支助以气候、移徙和健康为重点的五次年度会议。前三次会议将侧重于：1)自然灾害和流离失所；2)城市化；3)农村土地利用变化——每一次会议都代表了气候移徙与健康问题汇合的政策相关领域。为了响应新出现的研究和政策需要，四年级和五年级的主题重点仍未确定。气候知识的不断进步，加上其政策重要性，有必要定期召开会议。每年，在测量和预测气候以及了解变化的影响方面都取得了重大进展，并定期向公众提供新的数据。年会将利用新出现的框架和数据进展，促进对关键政策问题的及时研究反应。科罗拉多大学人口中心（CUPC）的地理位置非常适合举办年度会议，因为该中心的每个研究主题都有领先的研究人员：1)环境人口统计学，2)移民和人口分布，以及3)健康和死亡率。此外，会议组织者与科罗拉多大学著名的“自然灾害中心”以及位于博尔德的国家大气研究中心（NCAR）有着密切的合作关系，每个机构都参加了拟议的会议。与伍德罗·威尔逊国际学者中心和人口参考局的密切关系构成了政策沟通部分的基础。行为科学研究所和中国政法大学在组织实际的、有影响力的、有成效的研讨会方面有丰富的经验。这里建议的会议规模较小（约15名参与者，代表性别、种族/民族、地理和学科的多样性）。研究报告以接近完整的论文为基础，为追求高影响力学术网点的特殊问题提供材料。这一方法建立在2012年5月成功举办的“移民、城市化和气候变化”专题研讨会的基础上。

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): Important progress is being made on understanding the health impacts of climate change - a critical research "frontier" (Rohr and Dobson 2011). The impacts are "wide-ranging" across scales and include indirect and direct effects (Hales, Weinstein and Woodward 2011). An example is evidence of links between rainfall and malaria (Pascual, Dobson, and Bouma 2009). Research on migration-climate links is also progressing, with recent science suggesting much environmentally-related migration will be internal, or short-distance, since international, and longer-distance, migration is costly (e.g. Gray 2009). Even so, increases in displacement due to extreme events are likely (Bardsley and Hugo 2010). The health implications of climate change will likely shape migration trends -- while the migratory impacts of climate change will likely shape health. Even so, this intersection has not received substantial research attention. Support is requested for five annual conferences focused on climate, migration and health. The first three conferences will focus on 1) natural disasters and displacement, 2) urbanization and 3) rural land use change - each representing policy-relevant arenas where climate-migration-health issues converge. The topical foci of years 4 and 5 remain undetermined in order to be responsive to emerging research and policy needs. The continuing advancement of climate knowledge, combined with its policy importance, necessitate regular conferences. Each year, substantial progress is made on measuring and projecting climate and understanding the implications of change and new data are regularly made publicly available. Annual conferences will facilitate timely research response to key policy questions by making use of emerging frameworks and data advancements. The University of Colorado Population Center (CUPC) is well-situated to host the annual conferences given the presence of leading researchers in each of the center's research themes: 1) environmental demography, 2) migration and population distribution, and 3) health and mortality. In addition, the conference organizers have strong collaborative ties with CU's renowned "Natural Hazards Center" as well as with the Boulder-based National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) - with each institution participating in the proposed conferences. Strong relationships with the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars and the Population Reference Bureau form the basis for the policy communications components. The Institute of Behavioral Science and CUPC have substantial experience in organizing practical, impactful, productive workshops. The conferences proposed here are small (~15 participants representing diversity in gender, race/ethnicity, geography and discipline). Research presentations are based on near-complete papers, providing material for pursuit of special issues in high-impact scholarly outlets. This approach builds on a successful May 2012 CUPC-NCAR workshop on "Migration, Urbanization and Climate Change."