Childhood CV Risk and Adult CVD Outcomes: an International Long-term Follow-up

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DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): The primary objective of this research proposal is to determine the nature of relationships between levels of cardiovascular (CV) risk factors (anthropometrics, lipids, blood pressure) in childhood and CV morbidity and mortality in adulthood. The NHLBI Pediatric CV Risk Reduction Initiative noted that the lack of longitudinal studies linking CV risk factor levels in children to CV endpoints in adulthood is a major clinical research gap that needs to be spanned. This research will close that gap by pooling data on participants from seven major U.S. and international longitudinal cohort studies that were initiated in the 1970s and 1980s. These studies all have measured detailed CV risk factors in childhood, and have follow-up data spanning childhood and adulthood. They have been collaborating since 2009 as the International Childhood Cardiovascular Cohort (i3C) Consortium, with an administrative organization, regular organizational and data sharing meetings, and fifteen joint publications. Specific Aim 1 of this study is to locate the childhood participants of five NIH-funded longitudinal studies in the U.S. (BHS, MUSC, PFS, MCCS, and NGHS) and two international studies (YFS and CDAH); identify incident CV endpoints (coronary heart disease, myocardial infarction, heart failure, peripheral artery disease, and stroke) using self-reported morbidity validated by adjudication of medical records; and identify decedents using the National Death Index and adjudicate cause of death for deceased participants. In Aim 2, these data will be used to address the hypotheses that: 1) Adverse childhood/adolescent (age 3-19) CV risk factor levels (BMI, total cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, triglycerides, BP) are related to increased incidence of CV endpoints in adulthood.; 2) A CV risk score weighting childhood/adolescent risk factors (BMI, BP, lipids, age, sex and race/ethnicity) is a stronger predictor of adult CV endpoints than any individual risk factor.; and 3) The relationship of individual risk factors or CV risk score with adult CV endpoints becomes stronger with increasing age from childhood (age 3-11) to adolescence (age 11-19). Aim 3 will evaluate the association of CV risk score trajectories on adult CV endpoints, focusing on trajectories during childhood/adolescence (hypothesis 4) and between childhood/adolescence and adulthood (hypothesis 5). The present proposal is innovative in that it assembles, for the first time, a cohort of sufficient size (22,883 anticipated recruitment), with childhood risk factor measurements, and with a duration of follow-up (40 years) that will enable follow-up of participants at ages when CV events occur. It will, therefore, provide novel insights into how childhood risk factors contribute to adult cardiometabolic disease.