Population Disease Modeling

人口疾病模型

• 批准号: 1000229058-2012
• 负责人: Greer, Amy
• 金额: $ 7.29万
• 依托单位: University of Guelph
• 依托单位国家: 加拿大
• 项目类别: Canada Research Chairs
• 财政年份: 2017
• 资助国家: 加拿大
• 起止时间: 2017-01-01 至 2018-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nserc-crsng.gc.ca/ase-oro/Details-Detailles_eng.asp?id=643242
• 关键词: Population; Disease; Modeling

Infectious disease outbreaks in animal populations have important environmental and economic costs. Emerging and zoonotic diseases, and production-limiting diseases associated with food animals pose significant challenges for public health. Agent-based, disease transmission models describe the complex host-pathogen-environment interactions of these pathogens. These models describe the way in which individuals interact and reveal patterns that emerge from these interactions. Well-calibrated models provide a tool for making assumptions explicit, using the best available data, and highlighting key factors determining policy needs. When public health intervention strategies are integrated within this framework, decisions on population health can be informed and control strategies optimized.

动物种群中传染病的爆发会造成巨大的环境和经济成本。新出现的人畜共患疾病以及与食用动物相关的限产疾病给公共卫生带来了重大挑战。基于代理的疾病传播模型描述了这些病原体复杂的宿主-病原体-环境相互作用。这些模型描述了个体交互的方式并揭示了这些交互中出现的模式。经过良好校准的模型提供了一种工具，可以使用最佳可用数据来明确假设，并突出确定政策需求的关键因素。当公共卫生干预策略纳入该框架时，可以为人口健康决策提供信息并优化控制策略。