Population Disease Modeling

人口疾病模型

• 批准号: 1000229058-2012
• 负责人: Greer, Amy
• 金额: $ 5.46万
• 依托单位: University of Guelph
• 依托单位国家: 加拿大
• 项目类别: Canada Research Chairs
• 财政年份: 2018
• 资助国家: 加拿大
• 起止时间: 2018-01-01 至 2019-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nserc-crsng.gc.ca/ase-oro/Details-Detailles_eng.asp?id=652437
• 关键词: Population; Disease; Modeling

Infectious disease outbreaks in animal populations have important environmental and economic costs. Emerging and zoonotic diseases, and production-limiting diseases associated with food animals pose significant challenges for public health. Agent-based, disease transmission models describe the complex host-pathogen-environment interactions of these pathogens. These models describe the way in which individuals interact and reveal patterns that emerge from these interactions. Well-calibrated models provide a tool for making assumptions explicit, using the best available data, and highlighting key factors determining policy needs. When public health intervention strategies are integrated within this framework, decisions on population health can be informed and control strategies optimized.

动物种群中的传染病暴发具有重要的环境和经济成本。新兴和人畜共患病以及与食用动物有关的限制性疾病对公共卫生构成了重大挑战。基于特工的疾病传播模型描述了这些病原体的复杂宿主 - 病因 - 环境相互作用。这些模型描述了个人相互作用和揭示从这些相互作用中产生的模式的方式。精心校准的模型提供了一种工具，可以使用最佳的可用数据明确提出假设，并突出确定策略需求的关键因素。当将公共卫生干预策略整合到此框架中时，可以对人口健康的决定进行告知和控制策略。