Development of an adaptive statistical model for oceanic flooding hazards along the East Australian coast.

规划宝贵的沿海基础设施和住房对澳大利亚社区的经济和社会福祉至关重要。澳大利亚沿海和河口的毁灭性洪水在1980年之前经常发生，但自那以后就不那么常见了。然而，正如最近发生的卡特里娜飓风和2004年节礼日海啸所显示的那样，风险是明显而巨大的。气候变化使得洪水预测更加困难。该项目将开发一种新的适应模式，既考虑到现在和未来的气候，也考虑到区域变化。这项研究将与新南威尔士州气候变化部合作，使政府能够迅速采取行动，提高社区对防洪的信任。

Planning of invaluable coastal infrastructure and housing is critical to the economic and social well-being of Australian communities. Devastating flooding along coasts and estuaries in Australia frequently occurred before 1980, but has been less common since. However, the risks are clear and enormous as demonstrated in recent disasters like Hurricane Katrina and the 2004 Boxing Day tsunami. Climate change makes flood predictions even more difficult. This project will develop a new adaptive model which accounts for both the present and future climate and also regional variability. The research will be in collaboration with the NSW Dept of Climate Change to enable rapid government action to improve community trust in flood protection.