Assessment of Long-term Development in Zambia

授予非营利性研究组织发展人类学研究所的这一奖项将允许三名资深人类学家监督原型研究，以建立相互关联的纵向实地研究地点，人类学家可以在那里检验关于经济发展和社会变化的假设。在过去30年中，两个私人投资促进机构开展了大量工作，建立了一个关于赞比亚Gwembe河谷四个汤加村庄的丰富数据库。本研究将把数据电脑化成年化时间序列，处理最近的(1981/2)人口普查，并将数据库扩展到1988年。他们还将建立一个影响该区域的世界经济变化的外生因素数据库(包括工资、商品价格以及生态和环境数据)。他们将利用遥感数据建立环境数据的联合数据库。这项研究之所以重要，是因为它是建立一个比较的理论和事实框架的长期过程的开始。对世界偏远地区偏远村庄的研究可以与世界进程的定量测量框架进行富有成效的比较。关于经济发展原因和后果的理论将能够参照广泛的经济、社会、环境和生态变量进行定量检验。

This award to the Institute for Development Anthropology, a non- profit research organization, will allow three senior anthropologists to oversee the prototype research to establish linked longitudinal field research sites wherein anthropologists can test hypotheses about economic development and social change. Extensive work by two of the PIs over the past 30 years has established a rich database on four Tonga villages in the Gwembe Valley, Zambia. The present research will computerize the data into an annualized time-series, process the most recent (1981/2) census and extend the database to 1988. They will also construct an exogenous factor database of world economic changes which have impacted this region (including wages, commodity prices, and ecological and environmental data). They will use remote sensing data to construct an allied database of environmental data. This research is important because it is a beginning in a long- term procedure to create a comparative theoretical and factual framework. Studies in isolated villages in distant regions of the world can be productively compared against a framework of quantitative measurements of world processes. Theories about causes and consequences of economic development will be able to be tested quantitatively with reference to a wide range of economic, social, environemtal and ecological variables.