Argentina and the Great Depression: A New Economic History

本研究将构建1910年至1940年期间阿根廷的经济史。这一经济历史将集中在三个主要领域：增长和结构变化，收入分配，以及经济开放的政策决定。这项研究之所以特别有趣，是因为阿根廷在世纪之交时是南美洲最富有的国家之一，但它无法在20世纪维持一段时间的经济增长。因此，这是现代经济增长失败的典型例子。本研究将使用计量经济学（计量经济模型与历史分析相结合）来试图解开这种失败发生的原因，并希望为现代经济提供有用的见解。

Alan Taylor Gerardo Paolera National Bureau of Economic Research SBR-9602042 This research will construct an economic history of Argentina in period 1910 to 1940. This economic history will focus on three major areas: growth and structural change, income distribution, and policy decisions on openness of the economy. This research is of particular interest because Argentina was one of the wealthiest South American countries around the turn-of-the- century, yet it was unable to sustain a period of economic growth into the 20th century. As such, it is a classic example of failure of modern economic growth. This research will use cliometrics (econometric models combined with historical analysis) to attempt to unravel why this failure occurred and to hopefully provide insights useful in modern day economies.