Support for Participation in the Workshop on Variability of the Asian-Australian Monsoon

在过去十年中，在确定制约太平洋海洋-大气相互作用和造成缓慢调制的厄尔尼诺-南方涛动的基本物理过程方面取得了相当大的进展。 在很大程度上，已经评估了温暖和寒冷事件对全球气候的影响程度，包括这种影响在不同事件之间的变化。 问题出现了：在预测亚洲-澳大利亚季风变率及其对全球气候的影响方面，是否可能取得同样程度的成功？今年夏天（1998年）将举办一个讲习班，以评估改进季风预测的潜力及其影响。 该讲习班将邀请具有气象学、气候学、海洋学和陆地表面过程专门知识的科学家参加。 具体目标包括：* 评估亚洲-澳大利亚季风在从季节内到年际的时间尺度上的可变性和可预测性的知识状况 * 评估目前在独立的海洋和大气模型以及耦合模型中模拟季风系统的能力 * 制定一项战略，以促进对季风系统及其可预测性的理解将产生一份关于调查结果和建议的报告，并广泛提供给社区。

During the last decade, considerable progress has been made in determining the basic physical processes that govern ocean-atmosphere interaction in the Pacific Ocean and that are responsible for the slowly modulation El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). To a significant degree, the extent to which warm and cold events influence global climate has been assessed, including the variability of that influence from event to event. The questions arise: is it possible to achieve the same degree of success with respect to predictions of the Asian-Australian monsoon variability and its global climate influence? A workshop will be held this summer (1998) to assess the potential for improved monsoon prediction and its impacts. The workshop will involve scientists with expertise in meteorology, climate, oceanography, and land surface processes. The specific objectives include:* Assessing the status of knowledge of the variability and predictability of the Asian-Australian monsoon on time-scales from intraseasonal to interannual* Assessing current abilities to model the monsoon system in stand-alone ocean and atmospheric models as well as coupled models* Developing a strategy for advancing understanding of the monsoon system and its predictabilityA report of findings and recommendations will be produced and made widely available to the community.The Divisions of Atmospheric and Oceans Sciences at NSF as well as NOAA and NASA are sharing in the support for this award.