CNH-Ex: An Analysis of Disturbance Interactions and Ecosystem Resilience in the Northern Forest of New England

该项目将扩大一个广泛使用的模拟模型，研究自然进程如何与不断变化的社会和经济压力相互作用，以确定森林的可持续性。 研究人员将研究美国主要剩余森林之一的土地使用和森林转换的模式和原因，北方纽约、佛蒙特、新罕布什尔州和缅因州的森林。两个主要问题是土地所有权的变化如何影响管理决策，以及基于短期经济利益的决策是否会增加森林对自然干扰的脆弱性。美国东北部的森林是全国重要的森林产品和娱乐资源。 该项目将帮助管理人员预测替代政策的长期后果，并更好地维持我们国内对木材和纸张的获取。 研究结果将通过在政策审查、美国林务局专题讨论会和示范用户组中发表的出版物传播给决策者和土地管理者。该项目还将培养一名本科生。

This project will expand a widely used simulation model to study how natural processes interact with changing social and economic pressures to determine the sustainability of forests. Researchers will examine patterns and causes of land use and forest conversion in one of the major remaining forests of the U.S., the woods of northern New York, Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine. Two main questions are how changes in land ownership affect management decisions, and whether decisions based on short-term economic interests increase the vulnerability of forest to natural disturbances.The woods of the far northeastern U.S. are a nationally important source of forest products and recreation. This project will help managers anticipate the long-term consequences of alternative policies and better maintain our domestic access to timber and paper. Outcomes will be disseminated to policy makers and land managers via publication in a policy review, a U.S. Forest Service symposium, and the model user group. The project will also train an undergraduate.