Stochastic Modelling of Structural Facade Damage and Occupant Safety Risks Due to Explosive Blast Loading

为已建成的基础设施提供爆炸防护措施的成本是巨大的，为可能存在的数百或数千座现有建筑物提供保护措施是巨大的，超出了政府和社会的资源。这里提出的基于风险的决策框架允许以合理和一致的方式量化和比较损害和伤亡风险，从而确保在有限资源支出的情况下最大限度地减少风险。显然，最大限度地降低一系列高风险建筑的风险，将在发生严重炸弹爆炸时将建筑损坏、生命损失、商业中断和其他经济和社会影响降至最低。

The cost of providing blast protective measures to built infrastructure is immense and providing protective measures to potentially hundreds or thousands of existing buildings is immense and beyond the resources of government and society. The risk-based decision-making framework proposed herein allows damage and casualty risks to be quantified and compared in a rational and consistent manner, thus ensuring that risk mitigation is maximised given expenditure of limited resources. Clearly, maximising risk mitigation across a range of high risk buildings will minimise building damage, loss of life, business disruption and other economic and social impacts in the event of a severe bomb blast.