Political selection in Germany

本项目探讨了德国地方一级政治选择的决定因素和后果。在第二个资助期内，我们收集了巴伐利亚州和黑森州的额外个人数据。有了这些数据，我们继续了之前申请中提到的论文的工作，并撰写了两篇新论文。“选举中的性别差距”这篇论文目前已被《欧洲经济评论》接受，但需作一些小的修改。《经济学和统计学评论》对题为“竞争性当选的妇女作为决策者”的论文进行了“修订和重新提交”。新的论文，题为“年轻的政治家能影响老年政治的政策吗？“和“全球大流行病来临之际的政治选择”，已经或即将分别提交。在第三个资助期，我们计划在德国另类选择党（AfD）在德国崛起的背景下研究政治选择。我们将探讨的一些问题包括：AfD的地方政客是真正的新人吗？或者他们是不成比例地背叛了其他更成熟的政党，看到了自己职业发展的机会？在他们的名单上有叛徒帮助AfD吗？AfD的政治家一旦进入一个政治机构，如何与来自更成熟政党的人互动？这些互动对政策选择有什么影响？在前两个供资期重点关注政治家的非政治特征（特别是性别和年龄）之后，我们将在第三个供资期重点关注意识形态和党派信念与政治选择之间的联系。为此，我们将特别收集2009-2019年期间萨克森地方理事会选举的个人数据。萨克森州表面上是德国新选择党最成功的州。此外，萨克森的地方理事会选举采用公开名单的方式进行。因此，我们将能够查明个别候选人对整个政党成功的影响。

This project explores the determinants and consequences of political selection at the local level in Germany. During the second funding period, we have collected additional individual-level data for Bavaria and Hesse. With this data, we have continued our work on the papers that were mentioned in the previous application and wrote two new papers. The paper "The Gender Recontest Gap in Elections" has by now been accepted subject to minor revisions by the "European Economic Review". The paper "Competitively Elected Women as Policymakers" has received a "revise & resubmit" from the "Review of Economics and Statistics". The new papers, entitled "Can Young Politicians Influence Policy in a Gerontocracy?" and "Political Selection at the Dawn of a Global Pandemic", have been or will soon be submitted, respectively. In the third funding period, we plan to study political selection in the context of the Alternative für Deutschland's (AfD) rise in Germany. Some of the questions we will explore include: Are local politicians of the AfD true newcomers? Or are they disproportionately turncoats form other, more established parties, who see an opportunity for their own career advancement? Does having turncoats on their list help the AfD? How do politicians of the AfD, once they enter a political body, interact with those from more established parties? What consequences do these interactions have for policy choices? After focusing on apolitical characteristics of politicians in the first two funding periods (notably gender and age), we will thus focus on the link between ideology and partisan convictions and political selection in the third funding period. For this purpose, we will collect in particular individual-level data on local council elections from Saxony over the period 2009-2019. Saxony is ostensibly the German state where the AfD is most successful. In addition, local council elections in Saxony are conducted with open lists. Thus, we will be able to pinpoint the effect of individual candidates on the success of the entire party.