ANALYSIS OF ECONOMIC EFFECTS OF THE WORLD EXPOSITION -from the viewpoint of an international comparative study and regional development-

本研究旨在探讨2005年爱知世博会的预期效应，并提出一个新的大型公共活动项目（LPEP）分析框架及其评价。从区域经济发展的角度讨论了世博会。然而，对其各个方面的广泛调查却很少。通过国际比较研究，对世博会进行微观分析和现场考察。我们的研究总结如下。(1)根据最近几届世博会，塞维利亚（1992）、里斯本（1998）和汉诺威（2000）的现场调查，我们发现，尽管世博会的目标已经变得强调与环境的和谐，但对其所在地区的社会经济影响仍然是显著的因素。特别是在考虑经济效应时，定性、区域性和长期性是重要的因素。通过对奥运会和日本世博会的问卷调查和访谈，我们也可以发现这一趋势。(2)根据上述结果，我们在2000年汉诺威世博会的官方报告中明确了他们采用了什么样的方法。在此基础上，明确了衡量LPEP效应的基本观点和框架。(3)目前评价包括EXPO在内的LPEP的区域经济效应通常采用投入产出分析法。我们回顾了过去的相关文献，并重新检验了这一计量经济工具。在这些研究的基础上，我们提出了另一种可能的分析框架和基于不同观点的新的评价方法。我们的研究成果被收录在《从国际比较研究和区域发展的角度分析世博会的经济效应》报告中。此外，我们于2003年11月在日本名古屋大学举行的“第二届日本经济政策协会国际会议”上召开了EXPO 2005专题会议，并发表了一篇论文《大型公共活动项目（LPEP）的经济和社会影响：LPEP的预期效果及其评价》作为我们研究成果的一部分。少

This study is to explore the expected effects of EXPO 2005 (Aichi EXPO) and present a new analytical framework of a large-scale public event project (LPEP) and its evaluation. The World Expositions have been discussed in view of the regional economic development. However, there are few extensive surveys on various aspects of them. We conducted micro-analytical and site investigations of the, World Expositions through international comparative studies. Our study is summarized as follows.(1)Based on the site surveys of the recent EXPOs, Sevilla (1992), Lisbon (1998) and Hanover (2000), we find that the social economic effects on their regions are still notable factors even though the objectives of the World Expositions have become to emphasize a harmony with environment. Especially when considering economic effects, qualitative, regional and long-term aspects are regarded as important elements. We can also find this tendency through the studies on The Olympic Games and Japan EXPO by ques … More tionnaire surveys and interviews.(2)According to above results, we make it clear what kind of approaches they use in the official report on the EXPO 2000 Hanover. Furthermore, we clarify basic viewpoints and frameworks for measuring the effects of LPEP.(3)An input-output analysis is often used so far for evaluating regional economic effects of LPEP including EXPO. We surveyed the past related literature and re-examined this econometric tool. After, these studies, we present another possible analytical framework and a new evaluation method based on the different viewpoints.(4)Our research results are collected up in the report "ANALYSIS OF ECONOMIC EFFECTS OF THE WORLD EXPOSITION -from the viewpoint of an international comparative study and regional development-". In addition, we held a special session on EXPO 2005 in "2nd International Conference of the Japan Economic Policy Association" (Nov. 2003) at Nagoya University, and presented a paper "The Economic and Social Impact of the 'Large-scale Public Event Project (LPEP)': Aspects of Expected Effect and Its Evaluation on LPEP' as a part of our research results. Less