Conservation planning in a dynamic and uncertain world

自然保护规划是一门生物科学和数学科学相结合的新兴学科，主要研究自然保护区的设计。我们将改进现有的保护规划工具，这些工具几乎总是假设一个静态的世界，通过发展在动态和不确定的世界中进行保护规划的理论和程序。我们将制订风险评估和决策框架，以便在规划保护区时考虑到各种景观动态。这项研究将有助于确保未来设计的保护区网络实现生物多样性长期持续的最终目标。

Nature conservation planning is an emerging discipline at the interface of biological and mathematical sciences focused on designing conservation areas. We will improve existing tools for conservation planning, which almost always assume a static world, by developing theories and procedures for undertaking conservation planning in a dynamic and uncertain world. A risk assessment and decision-making framework will be developed so that a variety of landscape dynamics can be taken into account when planning reserves. This research will help to ensure that reserve networks designed in the future achieve their ultimate goal of the long-term persistence of biodiversity.