ANALYSIS OF THE PROCESS OF EUROPEAN INTEGRATION BY INTERNATIONAL INPUT-OUTPUT TABLE

这项研究的目的是汇编和分析1990年代欧洲国际投入产出表。在第一和第二个研究年度对80年代和90年代的贸易数据和投入产出数据进行研究的基础上，编制并分析了欧盟大型国际表，在最后一个研究年度研究欧盟国家的相互依存结构。该表包括了10个欧盟国家，即英国、德国、法国、意大利、比利时、荷兰、丹麦、爱尔兰、西班牙和葡萄牙，每个国家的经济活动根据通用工业分类（NACE）分为25个中间分支。不仅编制了1985年的表格，还编制了1990年和1995年的表格，以比较时间序列上的结构。为了编制这些国际表格，每个国家的表格都是用欧洲统计局在有关国家没有编制时开发的欧元方法来估计的。并参照各国贸易数据结构和进口表划分货物和服务出口矢量，调整为矩阵形式。利用这些国际投入产出表，分析和考虑了从1986年达成单一欧洲法案到1993年的市场一体化，直到1995年欧盟第四次扩大，欧盟国家之间相互依存关系的变化。它还试图与日本发展中国家研究所编制的亚洲国际投入产出表进行比较。分析结果表明，20世纪90年代以来，欧盟各国的相互依存程度虽略有下降，但整体上仍呈现出强劲的发展趋势。西班牙与欧盟的融合也很明显。在不久的将来，不仅将公布分析结果，而且将公布欧洲国际投入产出表本身。

This research is aiming at compilation and analysis of European international input-output tables for the 1990s. Based upon the research of trade data and input-output data for 1980s and 1990s in the 1st and 2nd research year, the large international table for EU was compiled and analyzed to research interdependent structure of EU countries in this final research year. The table includes 10 EU countries, i.e. England, Germany, France, Italy, Belgium, Netherlands, Denmark, Ireland, Spain and Portugal, and economic activities of each country are classified into 25 intermediate branches according to the common industrial classification (NACE). And the tables were compiled not only for 1985 but also 1990 and 1995 to compare the structure in time series. In order to compile these international tables, each country's table was estimated by EURO method which was developed by European statistical office when it was not compiled by the countries concerned. And export vector for goods and services was divided referring to the structure of trading data and import tables for the countries concerned and adjusted to matrix form. Using these international input-output tables, changes of interdependent relationships among EU countries, after the agreement of the Single European Act in 1986 through Market Integration in 1993 until 4th Enlargement of the Union in 1995, has been analyzed and considered. It was also attempted to compare with the Asian international input-output tables compiled by the Institute of Developing Countries in Japan. As a result of analysis, interdependent structure as a whole is becoming robuster in EU though the degree decreased a little in both areas in the 1990s. And also remarkable Spanish integration into EU was evidently showed. In the near future, not only the result of analysis but also the European international input-output tables themselves will be published.