Spatial Analysis of Community Changes and Dynamic Allocation of Public Facilities under Declining Population

从长远来看，人口下降可能会解决20世纪60年代以来的城市问题，但在短期内可能会产生各种问题。尽管大多数现有的经济模型都假定城市增长，但萎缩过程并不是增长的逆过程，其动态方面更为重要。本研究旨在从多方面解决人口减少问题，其中包括对居住区的非城市化和供应设施的整合进行理论分析，以及对城市便利设施和在普查区一级进行多区域队列分析所需的数据进行估计。

In a long-run, population decline might possibly solve the urban problems since 1960's, but it might generate a various problems in a short-run. Although the most existing economic models presume urban growth, the shrinking process is not reverse of the growth, and its dynamic aspects are much more essential. This study is aimed at the multi-faceted approach to the problems of population decline, which includes theoretical analysis on de-urbanization of residential districts and consolidation of supply facilities, as well as estimation of urban amenities and data necessary to conduct the multi-regional cohort analysis at the census tract level.