PUBLIC WELFARE AND LIFE CYCLE DECISIONS OF YOUNG WOMEN

本项目研究公益资格与公益性的关系 标准和福利规则以及年轻女性的生命周期决定 关于教育、婚姻、生育、工作和福利 参与。生命周期决策被视为共同作出 以顺序性和前瞻性的方式和主题在不确定性下 对经济和环境的限制。其中的限制因素包括 时变的劳动力市场和婚姻市场机会，以及 其他家庭成员、父母和配偶的行为。该模型是 使用1979年青年女性受访者的数据进行估计 全国劳动力市场经验纵向调查队列。 模型的结构估计将用于执行 关于公益影响的反事实政策实验 关于生命周期结果的规则。 具体地说，项目的施舍是：1.描述生命周期 受教育、婚姻、生育、劳动力供应和公益 十多岁和二十多岁妇女的参与模式 使用纵向数据的种族/民族。2.评估动态 女性生命周期决策的经济模型，其中受教育， 婚姻状况、生育率、劳动力供应和福利方案参与度 被共同视为选择集的组成部分。3.估计 福利计划资格标准和福利规则的影响， 婚姻市场机会、劳动力市场机会和家庭 关于妇女的生命周期中关于学校教育、婚姻、 生育率、劳动力供应和福利计划的参与。4.至 量化不同解释的重要性，比如“差” 婚姻市场机会与福利计划的慷慨相比， 在学校教育、婚姻、 生育率、劳动力供给与青少年福利参与模式 女人。5.评估福利计划资格标准的影响 和福利规则关于婚前生育的总水平， 女户主家庭、贫困妇女和#年出生的儿童 贫穷。6.评估福利计划资格的影响 关于女性生命周期人力资本的标准和收益规则 对妇女财富和积累的关注。7.估计在何种程度上 公益通过其对生命周期决策的影响创造 关于上学、婚姻、生育和工作，永久福利-- 从属的妇女亚群。

This project studies relationship between public welfare eligibility criteria and benefit rules and the life cycle decisions of young women concerning schooling, marriage, fertility, work, and welfare participation. The life cycle decisions are treated as being made jointly under uncertainty in a sequential and forward looking manner and subject to economic and environmental constraints. Among the constraints are time-varying labor market and marriage market opportunities, and the behaviors of other family members, parents and spouses. The model is estimated using data from the female respondent's of the 1979 youth cohort of the National Longitudinal Surveys of Labor Market Experience. The structural estimates of the model are to be used to perform counterfactual policy experiments concerning the impact of public welfare rules on life cycle outcomes. Specifically, the alms of the project are: 1. To describe the life cycle schooling, marriage, fertility, labor supply, and public welfare participation patterns of women during their teens and twenties by race/ethnicity using longitudinal data. 2. To estimate a dynamic economic model of women's life cycle decisions in which schooling, marital status, fertility, labor supply and welfare program participation are treated jointly as components of the choice set. 3. To estimate the effect of welfare program eligibility criteria and benefit rules, marriage market opportunities, labor market opportunities, and family background on women's life cycle decisions regarding schooling, marriage, fertility, labor supply and welfare program participation. 4. To quantify the importance of alternative explanations, such as "poor" marriage market opportunities vs. the generosity of welfare programs, for the racial and ethnic differences observed in the schooling, marriage, fertility, labor supply, and welfare participation patterns of young women. 5. To estimate the impact of welfare program eligibility criteria and benefit rules on the aggregate levels of premarital childbearing, of female headed households, of women in poverty and of children born into poverty. 6. To estimate the effect of welfare program eligibility criteria and benefit rules on women's life cycle human capital accumulation and on women's wealth. 7. To estimate the extent to which public welfare creates, through its effect on life cycle decision making concerning schooling, marriage, fertility, and work, a permanent welfare- dependent subgroup of women.