FERTILITY AND MORTALITY TRENDS ON COLONIAL KILIMANJARO

从1897年至1961年坦桑尼亚独立期间，乞力马扎罗山上6个天主教徒和5个路德会传教士的电子表格记录令人惊讶地完整和具有广泛代表性，详细记录了605个多代家庭和11 000多人死亡的情况，将建立、核实和分析一个数据库。这项分析将需要计算生育率、不孕不育和死亡率参数，以及在该区域较早描述的社会和经济史中的计算情况。从殖民地乞力马扎罗山的人口历史来看，将有可能更好地理解目前生育率和预期家庭规模出现希望下降的时间和原因，并将目前的死亡模式纳入区域历史范围。此外，通过描述殖民地乞力马扎罗山不同时期的生育率和死亡率，以及殖民地卫生发展方案历史上这些变化的情况，可以评估这些方案的相对成功或失败，并为今天的坦桑尼亚S人的卫生和计划生育方案提供一些见解，他们中有相当大一部分人在独立前还活着，还记得殖民时期的卫生干预措施，并通过过去的镜头阅读现在。

From the surprisingly complete and broadly representative records now in spreadsheet form of 6 Catholic and 5 Lutheran missions on Kilimanjaro, detailing 605 multi-generational families and greater than 11,000 deaths, from 1897 to Tanzanian Independence in 1961, a database will be constructed, verified and analyzed. The analysis will entail the calculation of fertility, infertility, and mortality parameters and the situation of the calculations within an earlier delineated social and economic history of the region. From the situated demographic history of colonial Kilimanjaro, it will be possible to better understand when and why the current hopeful decreases in fertility and desired family size have occurred and to incorporate the current mortality patterns within the sweep of regional history. Furthermore, with the delineation of fertility and mortality at different periods for colonial Kilimanjaro and the situation of those changes within the history of colonial health development programs, it may be possible to assess the relative success or failure of those programs and provide some insight for health and family planning programs for the Tanzania s people today, a significant percentage of whom were alive prior to independence and remember the colonial health interventions and read the present through the lens of the past.