Can financial products reduce poverty and vulnerability? Experimental evidence from Benin on the impact of access to saving accounts and microcredit.
Can financial products reduce poverty and vulnerability? Experimental evidence from Benin on the impact of access to saving accounts and microcredit.
批准号:
ES/N014642/1
负责人:
Philippe LeMay-Boucher
金额:
$34.92万
依托单位:
依托单位国家:
英国
项目类别:
Research Grant
财政年份:
2016
资助国家:
英国
项目状态:
已结题
起止时间:
2016 至 --
中文摘要
在许多发展行为者和公共援助捐助者中,人们普遍认为穷人无法摆脱贫穷,因为他们受到信贷限制,因此无法进行投资。它们受到信贷限制的主要原因是缺乏抵押品。小额信贷是向穷人提供小额贷款的做法,被誉为最不发达国家消除贫困的关键工具。人们很容易忽视这样一个事实,即穷人实际上想要的可能不是贷款,而只是将他们的储蓄存入一个安全可靠的账户的能力。在这种情况下,通过提供负担得起的正规储蓄账户(小额储蓄)可以最大限度地满足穷人的利益。针对这一经验性弱点,该项目将通过比较正规(小额信贷和小额储蓄)和非正规金融服务来分析穷人的金融需求。通过在西非贝宁的一项随机对照试验,我们将测试这些金融工具中哪一种在帮助个人减少贫困和脆弱性方面更有效。鉴于最不发达国家的绝大多数人口几乎无法获得正规融资,小额信贷和小额储蓄引起了极大的兴趣。贝宁的大多数个人使用非正式储蓄或借贷机制;非正式机制是由于缺乏任何具有约束力的法律安排。在缺乏正规融资的情况下,许多贝宁人求助于轮流储蓄和信贷协会。参与roscas的费用很高,而且不赚取任何利息。他们的成员还承担着其他成员违约的风险,这往往会导致财务损失和团体的崩溃。与他们自己相比,ROCA成员在储蓄方面的灵活性较小,因为群体决定的缴款水平可能不同于他们个人的最佳储蓄率。尽管存在这些限制,但最不发达国家普遍欢迎并普遍存在区域和次区域办事处。人们可以推测,获得更安全可靠的正规金融产品可能会显著提高人们的储蓄和投资能力,并将减少穷人几乎每天面临的冲击所带来的影响。为了进行比较分析,我们将为不同样本的个人提供获得小额信贷和小额储蓄的机会。这将使我们能够:1)分析是什么推动了对这些金融工具的需求,并加强了我们对穷人储蓄和投资动机的理解。2)比较小额信贷和小额储蓄的有效性,并研究正规金融服务在帮助个人脱贫方面是否比ROCA更有效。因此,我们的建议直接解决了本次呼吁的首要问题1。3)调查正规金融对消费模式和非正规金融使用的附带影响。正规金融是否有助于减少奢侈品/琐碎物品的支出?在有或没有正规融资的情况下,穷人能更好地避免陷入债务陷阱吗?正规金融是否正在将人们赶出罗卡?4)从两个关键方面分析由此产生的投资及其可持续性:教育和卫生。众所周知,这些因素会对长期贫困产生至关重要的影响。众所周知,疾病和干旱等冲击会对穷人保持持续消费和投资人力资本的能力造成严重后果。如果获得小额储蓄可以比小额信贷更好地帮助人们减少贫困和脆弱性,那么专门用于小额贷款的资金可能会被重新用于改善储蓄方式。与扩大小额信贷项目相比,扩大贫困家庭获得小额储蓄的机会很可能代表着一种更简单、更便宜、风险更低的干预措施。它还可以降低与许多个人面临的过度负债相关的风险。这一项目的结果将引起公共机构和捐助者的极大兴趣。
英文摘要
Amongst many development actors and public aid donors it is commonly perceived that the poor cannot escape poverty because they are credit constrained and as such cannot invest. The main reason why they are credit constrained being the lack of collaterals. Microcredit, the practice of lending small amounts of money to the poor, is heralded as a key tool in the fight against poverty in least developed countries (LDCs). It is easy to overlook the fact that what the poor may actually desire is not a loan, but simply the ability to put their savings in a secure and reliable account. In which case the poor's interest could be best served by providing access to an affordable formal saving account (microsavings). Addressing this empirically weak spot, this project will analyse the financial needs of the poor by comparing formal (microcredit and microsavings) and informal financial services. Through a randomized controlled trial in Benin, West Africa, we will test which of these financial instruments is more effective in helping individuals to reduce poverty and vulnerability.Microcredit and microsavings are of great interest given that the vast majority of populations in LDCs have little if no access to formal finance. Most individuals in Benin use informal saving or lending mechanisms; informal due to the lack of any binding legal arrangement. In the absence of formal finance many Beninese resort to rotating savings and credit associations (ROSCAs). Participation in ROSCAs is costly and no interest is earned. Their members also bear the risk of default by other members, which frequently leads to financial loss and the breakdown of groups. ROSCA members have less flexibility in saving than they would on their own, since the group-determined contribution level is likely to differ from their individual optimal saving rate. Despite these constraints, ROSCAs enjoy popularity and are pervasive in LDCs. One can speculate that access to more secure and reliable formal financial products could lead to significant improvement in people's ability to save and invest and would reduce the impact associated with shocks the poor face on a near daily basis.To carry out our comparative analysis, we will offer access to microcredit and microsavings to different samples of individuals. This will allow to:1) Analyse what drives the demand for these financial devices and enhance our understanding of the poor's motivations for saving and investing. 2) Compare the effectiveness of microcredit vs. microsavings and examine whether formal financial services are more effective in helping individuals to escape poverty than ROSCAs. Our proposal thus directly addresses the Overarching Question 1 of the present Call.3) Investigate subsidiary effects of formal finance on consumption patterns and the use of informal finance. Does formal finance help in reducing expenditures on luxury/frivolous items? Do the poor manage better to avoid falling into a debt trap with or without formal finance? Is formal finance driving people out of ROSCAs?4) Analyse the resulting investments and their sustainability in two crucial dimensions: education and health. These are known to crucially impact long-term poverty.It is well documented that shocks, such as illness and drought, entail severe consequences on poor people's aptitudes to keep a constant path of consumption and investing in human capital. If access to microsavings can better allow people to reduce poverty and vulnerability than can microcredit, moneys earmarked for microloans might be redirected towards improving ways to savings. Scaling up access to microsavings amongst poor households might well represent a simpler, cheaper and less risky intervention compared to scaling up microcredit programs. It could also reduce the risk associated with over-indebtedness faced by many individuals. The results of this project will be of substantial interest for public agencies and donors.
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批准号:30700835
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项目类别:青年科学基金项目
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资助金额:16.0万元
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批准年份:2007
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负责人:赵善超
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依托单位: