Transformation and resilience on urban coasts

在现有系统产生脆弱性和危险的情况下，或者在不可能防止系统故障的情况下，转型为生活在风险中打开了新的机会。在一个风险日益与城市联系在一起的世界，以及城市越来越多地在沿海地区发展的情况下，TRUC专注于六个沿海特大城市：加尔各答、拉各斯、伦敦、纽约、上海和东京的发展、风险、复原力和转型之间的关系。该委员会将与利益攸关方合作，建立一个原创、综合、参与性的框架，首先确定生物物理、土地利用和决策过程之间的相互作用。其目的是揭示系统相互作用限制或打开复原力或转型机会的途径和权衡，以及这些结果本身如何相互作用和影响可持续发展；提供相当大的理论、方法和实践进步的空间。TRUC通过将城市生物物理模型(SUEWS)与由PIS联盟开发的世界风险指数(WRI)相结合，满足了为政策提供信息的更综合科学的需求。这为过去的投资增加了相当大的价值，并在相对较短的时间内提供了可观的研究收益。研究将有社区层面的分辨率，并在全市范围内进行。在建模和分析过程中加入了灵活性，以适应不同的数据和利益相关者的可用性。当地团队将负责数据收集，并与利益攸关方联系，以帮助制定当地问题并确保有效传播。该联盟包括自然科学家和社会科学家，每个伙伴都将参与概念或方法研究和案例研究。研究将纳入关于气专委发展路径和情景的国际科学讨论，AR5(三个联盟成员是AR5的作者)。该项目将是IGBP-IHDP项目沿海地区陆海相互作用的旗舰研究，包括三名科学指导委员会成员。

Transformation opens new opportunities for living with risk where existing systems generate vulnerability and hazard, or where preventing systems failure is impossible. In a world where risk is increasingly associated with cities, and cities increasingly growing on the coast, TRUC is focussed on the relationships between development, risk, resilience and transformation in six coastal megacities: Kolkata, Lagos, London, New York, Shanghai and Tokyo. TRUC will build an original, integrated, participatory framework in collaboration with stakeholders to first characterise and then identify interactions between bio-physical, land-use and decisionmaking processes. The aim is to reveal the pathways and trade-offs through which systems interactions constrain or open opportunities for resilience or transformation and how these outcomes themselves interact and influence sustainable development; offering scope for considerable theoretical, methodological and practical advancement.TRUC meets the need for more integrated science to inform policy by combining an urban biophysical model (SUEWS) with the WorldRiskIndex (WRI), developed by consortium PIs. This adds considerable value to past investments as well as offering substantial research gains over a relatively short period. Research will have neighbourhood level resolution and be city-wide. Flexibility is built into the modelling and analysis process to accommodate divergent data and stakeholder availability. Local teams will head-up data acquisition and liaise with stakeholders to help frame local questions and ensure effective dissemination. The consortium includes natural and social scientists and each partner will be involved in conceptual or methodological and case study research. Research will feed into international scientific discussion on development pathways and scenarios within the IPCC, AR5 (three consortium members are authors in AR5). The project will be a flagship research for the IGBP-IHDP project Land Ocean Interaction on the Coastal Zone with three scientific steering committee members included.