Food Security and Land Use: The Telecoupling Challenge

该联合会由四个重点国家（巴西、中国、英国、和美国），非洲脆弱的溢出效应国家、两个主要的农研协商组中心（CIAT和IFPRI）、粮农组织和广泛的利益攸关方参与。我们采用了一个创新的综合框架，耦合-耦合的人类和自然系统之间的社会经济和环境的相互作用，在不同的尺度在很大的距离-可以改变我们如何看待国际贸易对粮食安全和土地利用动态的附带影响。我们讨论专题3（反馈环），重点是对粮食安全至关重要的主要商品：稻米、玉米、小麦、大豆、马铃薯、生物燃料作物（主要是甘蔗和玉米）和牲畜。我们将研究不同规模的过程，从主要粮食商品的国际贸易到区域/地方规模的深入研究。该联盟的合作伙伴为该项目带来了代表四大洲的大量粮食安全和土地使用项目，同时提供了一个急需的框架，以解决粮食系统如何在远距离变化，并考虑到粮食生产，贸易和分配形式变化的社会经济和环境后果。该团队包括社会科学和自然科学领域的顶尖学者以及相关部门有影响力的利益攸关方。这一项目的最终结果将是提高预测粮食流动和土地使用变化的影响的能力;促进政策变化以改善粮食安全的工具，同时确保更可持续的环境;加强主要粮食生产国和消费国的主要研究和利益攸关方团体之间的合作;以及培训新一代警觉者，以尽量减少世界各地土地使用变化的负面影响。该项目将提供一个全面的框架，一个复杂的系统建模方法和一个基于网络的决策支持系统，以找到加强所有人粮食安全的解决方案，同时确保可持续的地球。

The Telecoupling Consortium, consists of four focal countries (Brazil, China, U.K. and U.S.), vulnerable spillover countries in Africa, two major CGIAR centers (CIAT and IFPRI) , FAO and extensive stakeholder involvement. We apply an innovative integrative framework, Telecoupling - socioeconomic and environmental interactions among coupled human and natural systems at different scales over great distances - that can transform how we think about collateral effects from international trade on food security and land use dynamics. We address Theme 3 (Feedback Loops), focusing on major commodities central to food security: rice, corn, wheat, soybeans, potato, biofuel crops (mainly sugarcane and corn) and livestock. We will examine processes at different scales, from the international trade in major food commodities, to in-depth studies at regional/local scales. The Consortium partners bring to this project a very large portfolio of food security and land use projects, representing four continents, while providing a much needed framework to address how food systems change across large distances, and to account for socioeconomic and environmental consequences of shifting forms of food production, trade and distribution. The team includes leading scholars in social and natural sciences as well as influential stakeholders in relevant sectors. The end result of this project will be enhanced capacity to predict effects from shifts in food flows and land use; tools to facilitate policy changes to improve food security, while ensuring a more sustainable environment; increased cooperation among major research and stakeholder groups in major food production and consuming countries; and training a new generation alert to minimizing negative consequences from changes in land use worldwide. The project will provide a comprehensive framework, a complex systems modeling approach and a Web-based Decision Support System to finding solutions that enhance food security for all, while ensuring a sustainable earth.