Maritime traffic pattern analysis for coastal protection

海上交通分析是帮助保护海岸的宝贵工具。在这项研究中，将考虑两种类型的危害：船舶的危险泄漏，以及对表现出不寻常行为的船只的识别，这些行为可能表明一些不良意图。通过计算机模型，我们将计算出在特定时间内有多少艘船只通过特定区域，以及它们大量携带的有毒物质类型。这可能是石油，或其他有害物质（HNS），如化学品。然后，我们将评估泄漏的可能原因，从故意倾倒到船舶事故。在后一种情况下，浅水、拥挤的区域和风暴是可能导致意外泄漏的一些因素。此外，由于海岸的敏感性、保护区、较高的人口密度和其他因素，如果发生泄漏，一些地区比其他地区风险更大。一旦我们能够根据交通、物质类型、频率和大小来预测泄漏，我们就会利用这些信息来评估全国每个地区所需的响应能力，并将其与目前的能力进行比较，以便在必要时做出改进。

Maritime traffic analysis is a valuable tool for helping protect the coasts. In this research, two types of hazards will be considered: hazardous spills from ships, and identification of boats that are displaying unusual behaviour, perhaps indicating some bad intent. Using computer models, we will gauge how many ships pass though a given area over a specified time frame, and what type of noxious substance they are carrying in large quantities. This could be oil, or other Hazardous and Noxious Substances (HNS), such as chemicals. We will then evaluate what the causes of spills could be, from deliberate dumping to vessel accidents. In the latter case, shallow waters, congested areas, and storms are some factors that could lead to accidental spills. Also, some areas are riskier than others if a spill occurs, due to the sensitivity of the shore, protected areas, higher density population, and other such factors. Once we can forecast spills based on traffic, by type of substance, by frequency, and by size, then we will use the information to assess the amount of response capability that is needed in every area of the country, and compare that with the current capacity so that improvements can be made if necessary.