Maritime traffic pattern analysis for coastal protection

海上交通分析是帮助保护海岸的宝贵工具。 在这项研究中，将考虑两种类型的危险：船舶的危险溢漏，以及识别表现出异常行为的船只，这些船只可能表明某些不良意图。 利用计算机模型，我们将测量在特定的时间范围内有多少船只通过一个给定的区域，以及它们携带的大量有毒物质的类型。 这可能是油，或其他有害和有毒物质（HNS），如化学品。 然后，我们将评估泄漏的原因可能是什么，从故意倾倒到船只事故。 在后一种情况下，浅水沃茨、拥挤区域和风暴是可能导致意外泄漏的一些因素。 此外，由于海岸的敏感性、保护区、较高密度的人口和其他此类因素，如果发生泄漏，某些区域的风险比其他区域更大。一旦我们能够根据交通、物质类型、频率和规模预测泄漏，我们将利用这些信息来评估该国每个地区所需的应对能力，并将其与当前能力进行比较，以便在必要时进行改进。

Maritime traffic analysis is a valuable tool for helping protect the coasts. In this research, two types of hazards will be considered: hazardous spills from ships, and identification of boats that are displaying unusual behaviour, perhaps indicating some bad intent. Using computer models, we will gauge how many ships pass though a given area over a specified time frame, and what type of noxious substance they are carrying in large quantities. This could be oil, or other Hazardous and Noxious Substances (HNS), such as chemicals. We will then evaluate what the causes of spills could be, from deliberate dumping to vessel accidents. In the latter case, shallow waters, congested areas, and storms are some factors that could lead to accidental spills. Also, some areas are riskier than others if a spill occurs, due to the sensitivity of the shore, protected areas, higher density population, and other such factors. Once we can forecast spills based on traffic, by type of substance, by frequency, and by size, then we will use the information to assess the amount of response capability that is needed in every area of the country, and compare that with the current capacity so that improvements can be made if necessary.