Improved modelling of managed watersheds in the Canadian Shield in support of hydropower reservoir management

水电公司经常使用水文模型对水电站水库的入库流量进行长期和短期预测。这些流入预测用于水位和流出管理，以支持能源生产，并在长期内用于资本投资决策。这项研究旨在确定改进的方法，以开发这些水文模型并将其应用于加拿大盾的流域，该流域的特点是相互关联的湖泊系统，基岩上有浅层土壤。此外，还将开发处理不确定的受控流入(即由上游水管理者控制的径流)的专门手段。这些改进的模型和方法将提高合作组织安大略省发电公司规划未来天气和气候条件的能力，使其日常水电收入受益，并降低长期资本投资成本。

Hydropower companies regularly use hydrological models to make long-term and short-term forecasts of inflows to hydroelectricity reservoirs. These inflow predictions are used for water level and outflow management in support of energy production and, in the long term, for capital investment decisions. This research is intended to identify improved means by which to develop and apply these hydrological models to watersheds in the Canadian Shield, which is characterized by interconnected lake systems with shallow soils sitting atop bedrock. In addition, specialized means of handling uncertain managed inflows (i.e., streamflows controlled by water managers upstream) will be developed. These improved models and methods will improve partnering organization Ontario Power Generation's capacity to plan for future weather and climate conditions, benefiting their day-to-day hydroelectricity revenues and reducing long-term capital investment costs.