An assessment of the impact of climate adaptation measures to reduce flood risk on ecosystem services.
An assessment of the impact of climate adaptation measures to reduce flood risk on ecosystem services.
复制标题
评估气候适应措施的影响，以减少洪水风险对生态系统服务的影响。
DOI：
10.1007/s10980-012-9715-6
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发表时间：
2012
影响因子：
5.2
通讯作者：
Lesschen, Jan Peter
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Verburg, Peter H.;Koomen, Eric;Hilferink, Maarten;Perez-Soba, Marta;Lesschen, Jan Peter
关键词：
适应气候变化的措施往往涉及修改土地利用和土地利用规划做法。土地利用的这种变化影响到各种生态系统商品和服务的提供。因此，适应措施可能会在一系列生态系统商品和服务之间产生协同效应和权衡。提出了一种综合的土地利用模型方法，以评估对欧洲联盟的影响。参考情景说明了全球驱动因素的当前趋势，并包括一些与欧洲政策正在发生的变化相对应的重要政策发展。参考情景与政策情景进行了比较，在政策情景中，在气候变化的条件下，采取了一系列措施来调节洪水风险和保护土壤。评估了模拟土地利用动态对提供生态系统服务的四个关键指标的影响：洪水风险、碳固存、生境连通性和生物多样性。结果表明，适应措施对提供生态系统服务的影响存在很大的空间差异。协同效应经常出现在措施本身的所在地，而权衡则出现在其他地点。减少集水区特定部分的土地利用强度可能会导致其他地区的压力增加，从而导致权衡。因此，在将结果汇总到更大的空间尺度时，正面和负面影响可能相互抵消，这表明需要进行详细的空间评估。模拟结果表明，为了仔细规划和评价适应措施，需要考虑权衡一项措施在远离实际措施的地点的负面影响。综合土地利用模型可以通过提供关于生态系统服务、不同政策领域和社会需求之间的协同和权衡的证据，在这种复杂的权衡评估中帮助土地利用规划。
Measures of climate change adaptation often involve modification of land use and land use planning practices. Such changes in land use affect the provision of various ecosystem goods and services. Therefore, it is likely that adaptation measures may result in synergies and trade-offs between a range of ecosystems goods and services. An integrative land use modelling approach is presented to assess such impacts for the European Union. A reference scenario accounts for current trends in global drivers and includes a number of important policy developments that correspond to on-going changes in European policies. The reference scenario is compared to a policy scenario in which a range of measures is implemented to regulate flood risk and protect soils under conditions of climate change. The impacts of the simulated land use dynamics are assessed for four key indicators of ecosystem service provision: flood risk, carbon sequestration, habitat connectivity and biodiversity. The results indicate a large spatial variation in the consequences of the adaptation measures on the provisioning of ecosystem services. Synergies are frequently observed at the location of the measures itself, whereas trade-offs are found at other locations. Reducing land use intensity in specific parts of the catchment may lead to increased pressure in other regions, resulting in trade-offs. Consequently, when aggregating the results to larger spatial scales the positive and negative impacts may be off-set, indicating the need for detailed spatial assessments. The modelled results indicate that for a careful planning and evaluation of adaptation measures it is needed to consider the trade-offs accounting for the negative effects of a measure at locations distant from the actual measure. Integrated land use modelling can help land use planning in such complex trade-off evaluation by providing evidence on synergies and trade-offs between ecosystem services, different policy fields and societal demands.
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影响因子：
9.1
作者：
GUSTAFSON, EJ;PARKER, GR
通讯作者：
PARKER, GR
影响因子：
5.4
作者：
Hurkmans, R. T. W. L.;Terink, W.;Verburg, P. H.
通讯作者：
Verburg, P. H.
DOI：
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.01.013
发表时间：
2011-05-01
影响因子：
8.9
作者：
Dawson, Richard J.;Ball, Tom;Roche, Nicolas
通讯作者：
Roche, Nicolas
影响因子：
3.7
作者：
Alkemade, Rob;van Oorschot, Mark;ten Brink, Ben
通讯作者：
ten Brink, Ben
影响因子：
7.1
作者：
Eickhout, B.;van Meijl, H.;van Rheenen, T.
通讯作者：
van Rheenen, T.