Systematic Assessment of the Climate Sensitivity of Important Human and Domestic Animals Pathogens in Europe.
Systematic Assessment of the Climate Sensitivity of Important Human and Domestic Animals Pathogens in Europe.
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DOI：
10.1038/s41598-017-06948-9
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发表时间：
2017-08-02
影响因子：
4.6
通讯作者：
Baylis M
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
McIntyre KM;Setzkorn C;Hepworth PJ;Morand S;Morse AP;Baylis M
气候变化预计将通过对气候敏感的传染病的影响来威胁人类健康和福祉，可能改变其空间分布，影响年度/季节周期，或改变疾病的发病率和严重程度。病原体的气候敏感性是疾病可能对气候变化做出反应的关键指标，但对气候敏感的病原体的比例及其特征尚不清楚。通过病原体的选择和文献综述的选择，系统地评估了欧洲人类和家畜传染性病原体的气候敏感性以及与敏感性相关的特征。百分之六十三 (N = 157) 的病原体对气候敏感； 82% 归因于降雨和温度等主要驱动因素。原生动物和蠕虫、媒介传播、食源性、土源性和水源性传播途径与大量气候驱动因素有关。人畜共患病原体比人类或动物病原体对气候更敏感。百分之三十七的残疾调整生命年是由对主要气候驱动因素敏感的人类传染病引起的。这些结果有助于优先监测可能应对气候变化的病原体。尽管这项研究确定了重要病原体对气候高度敏感，但它们对气候变化的反应将取决于它们与气候驱动因素的关联性质以及其他驱动因素的影响。
Climate change is expected to threaten human health and well-being via its effects on climate-sensitive infectious diseases, potentially changing their spatial distributions, affecting annual/seasonal cycles, or altering disease incidence and severity. Climate sensitivity of pathogens is a key indicator that diseases might respond to climate change, but the proportion of pathogens that is climate-sensitive, and their characteristics, are not known. The climate sensitivity of European human and domestic animal infectious pathogens, and the characteristics associated with sensitivity, were assessed systematically in terms of selection of pathogens and choice of literature reviewed. Sixty-three percent (N = 157) of pathogens were climate sensitive; 82% to primary drivers such as rainfall and temperature. Protozoa and helminths, vector-borne, foodborne, soilborne and waterborne transmission routes were associated with larger numbers of climate drivers. Zoonotic pathogens were more climate sensitive than human- or animal-only pathogens. Thirty-seven percent of disability-adjusted-life-years arise from human infectious diseases that are sensitive to primary climate drivers. These results help prioritize surveillance for pathogens that may respond to climate change. Although this study identifies a high degree of climate sensitivity among important pathogens, their response to climate change will be dependent on the nature of their association with climate drivers and impacts of other drivers.
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DOI：
10.1080/10643389.2010.534706
发表时间：
2012-04
影响因子：
12.6
作者：
Semenza JC;Herbst S;Rechenburg A;Suk JE;Höser C;Schreiber C;Kistemann T
通讯作者：
Kistemann T
影响因子：
4.9
作者：
Fischer D;Thomas SM;Suk JE;Sudre B;Hess A;Tjaden NB;Beierkuhnlein C;Semenza JC
通讯作者：
Semenza JC
DOI：
10.1098/rstb.2001.0894
发表时间：
2001-07-29
影响因子：
6.3
作者：
Kovats, RS;Campbell-Lendrum, DH;Cox, JS
通讯作者：
Cox, JS
影响因子：
56.9
作者：
Siraj, A. S.;Santos-Vega, M.;Pascual, M.
通讯作者：
Pascual, M.
影响因子：
2
作者：
Schroeder, Winfried;Schmidt, Gunther
通讯作者：
Schmidt, Gunther