The Rates and Outcomes of Job Mobility

本项目将通过分析1973年至1987年的当前人口调查，确定和权衡影响向上和向下社会经济流动的因素。方法包括按性别和种族描述比率、对数线性分析、多项分析和逻辑回归分析。这些方法允许检查流动性决定因素，考虑到种族和性别之外的个人因素，以及不断变化的组织结构。由于缺乏统计工具，个人决定因素和组织没有包括在以前的工作中。它们之所以重要，是因为在种族和性别类别中，成功率存在很大的个体差异，而且大多数流动性发生在组织内部，而组织的机会结构会随着经济变化和其他因素而变化。这项研究的结果将显示最近发生的流动性变化，这是由于禁止在晋升方面歧视的法律、服务部门就业的增长、妇女在家庭以外就业的增加以及耐用品制造业的下降等因素造成的。

This project will identify and weight factors influencing upward and downward socio-economic mobility through analysis of the Current Population Surveys for 1973 through 1987. Methods include description of rates by gender and race, loglinear analyses, multinominal analyses, and logistic regression analy- ses. These methods permit examination of mobility determinants taking into account individual factors in addition to race and gender, and changing organizational structures. Individual determinants and organizations have not been included in previous work due to lack of statistical tools to include them. They are important because there is wide individual variation in success rates within race and gender categories, and because most mobil- ity occurs within organizations, whose opportunity structures change with economic changes and other factors. Results of this study will show changes in mobility which have occurred recently due to such factors as laws against discrimination in promotions, growth of service sector employment, increasing employment of women outside the home, and declines in durable goods manufac- turing.