Mathematical Sciences: Development and Analysis of Three- Species Epidemic Models

首席研究员将研究涉及三种动物的动物流行病的数学模型。该模型适用于鼠疫兽疫，涉及跳蚤、草原土拨鼠和土狼。这种调查对于确定鼠疫的爆发是极其重要的。目前，鼠疫在野生啮齿动物中爆发的时间和地点是不可预测的。在流行病学和传染病学领域专家的帮助下建立的数学模型有可能使这种预测变得可靠。

The principal investigator will study a mathematical model for an epizootic which involves three species. This model has applications to a plague epizootic which involves fleas, prairie dogs, and coyotes. Such investigations for determining the outbreak of plagues are extremely important. At the present time, plague outbreaks among wild rodents are not predictable as to time and location. The mathematical models developed with the help of experts in the area of epidemiology and epizoology have the potential of making such predictions reliable.