From Dispute to Dispute: An Analysis of the Dynamics of Internation Conflict

从争端到争端：国际冲突动态分析

• 批准号: 9225148
• 负责人: Dina Zinnes
• 金额: $ 12万
• 依托单位: University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 1993
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 1993-02-15 至 1996-07-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=9225148&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Dispute; Analysis; Dynamics; Internation; Conflict

International crises and major ongoing internation disputes are a central topic of concern for everyone. This project provides scientific theoretical underpinnings to our understanding of the recurrence of major international disputes. The goal is to study mathematical representations of dispute sequences or histories by drawing together the work of the principal researchers in international relations and embedding them in a framework that emphasizes common ties, interests, interconnections, and relationships among nations.. By analytic and computer explorations, attempts will be made to predict, for a sequence of disputes, who will be a party to each dispute, what will happen in each dispute, and how the outcome and details of each dispute will affect the relationships among the nations involved. These predictions will then be used to examine a number of major questions current in the international relations literature and develop empirical tests using several of the datasets that have been compiled by the National Science Foundation's project on Data Development for International Research. This project goes beyond previous studies of internation conflict because it examines dispute sequences, allows different nations to move in and out of disputes from one time period to the next, and brings to the forefront the important influence of relationships among nations.

国际危机和正在进行的重大国际纠纷是每个人关注的关键主题。 该项目为我们理解主要国际争端的复发提供了科学的理论基础。 目的是通过将主要研究人员在国际关系中的工作汇总在一起，并将其嵌入到一个强调共同的联系，利益，兴趣，互连和关系中的框架中来研究争议序列或历史的数学表示。将影响相关国家之间的关系。 然后，这些预测将用于研究国际关系文献中当前的许多主要问题，并使用国家科学基金会针对国际研究数据开发项目编制的几个数据集开发经验测试。 该项目超越了对国际冲突的先前研究，因为它检查了争端序列，允许不同国家从一个时间段到下一个时间段，并将争端移至下一个时期，并带到了最前沿的国家之间关系的重要影响。