From Dispute to Dispute: An Analysis of the Dynamics of Internation Conflict

国际危机和正在发生的重大国际争端是 大家关心的中心话题。 这个项目提供 科学的理论基础，以我们的理解， 再次发生重大国际争端。 我们的目标是学习 争议序列或历史的数学表示， 将主要研究人员的工作汇集在一起， 国际关系，并将其纳入一个框架， 强调共同的纽带、利益、相互联系， 国与国之间的关系。 通过分析和计算机 探索，尝试将作出预测，为一系列的 谁将成为每一场争端的当事方， 每一个人，都有自己的故事，每一个人，都有自己的故事。 影响到相关国家之间的关系。 这些 预测将被用来检查一些主要的 当前国际关系文献中的问题， 使用几个数据集开发经验测试， 由美国国家科学基金会的数据项目 发展国际研究。 这个项目超越了以前对国际冲突的研究 因为它检查了争端的顺序，允许不同的国家， 从一个时期到下一个时期， 将人际关系的重要影响 在国家之间。

International crises and major ongoing internation disputes are a central topic of concern for everyone. This project provides scientific theoretical underpinnings to our understanding of the recurrence of major international disputes. The goal is to study mathematical representations of dispute sequences or histories by drawing together the work of the principal researchers in international relations and embedding them in a framework that emphasizes common ties, interests, interconnections, and relationships among nations.. By analytic and computer explorations, attempts will be made to predict, for a sequence of disputes, who will be a party to each dispute, what will happen in each dispute, and how the outcome and details of each dispute will affect the relationships among the nations involved. These predictions will then be used to examine a number of major questions current in the international relations literature and develop empirical tests using several of the datasets that have been compiled by the National Science Foundation's project on Data Development for International Research. This project goes beyond previous studies of internation conflict because it examines dispute sequences, allows different nations to move in and out of disputes from one time period to the next, and brings to the forefront the important influence of relationships among nations.