Multi-scale ensemble modelling of coastal systems in a changing climate

该项目旨在通过开发模式集合平均的时变框架来纳入沙质海岸线的适应。这将大大提高我们预测高价值海岸线上从几天到几十年的一系列管理时间范围内海岸线变化的能力。该项目期望使用新的方法来训练模型并提供前所未有的新的海岸线数据，从而产生海岸工程方面的新知识。预期成果是提高预测一系列时间尺度上的海岸线变化的能力，以及更好地了解沙质海岸线如何适应未来的气候变化。这将使我们能够更好地评估我们的高价值海岸线上的沿海危险，从而带来显著的好处。

This project aims to incorporate sandy shoreline adaptation by developing a time-varying framework for model ensemble averaging. This will significantly advance our ability to predict shoreline change over a range of management timescales from days to decades along high-value coastlines. This project expects to generate new knowledge in Coastal Engineering using new methods to train models and deliver unprecedented new shoreline data. The expected outcomes are enhanced capacity to predict shoreline change over a range of timescales and a better understanding of how sandy coastlines adapt to future climate variability. This should provide significant benefits by enabling a better assessment of coastal hazards along our high-value coastline.