Democratic Political Systems and International Conflict Behavior

小行星9511005 在这个项目中，博弈论的方法被用来解释：1） 国家之间何时会出现政治安全问题的国际争端; 2）为什么有些国际争端涉及高度的外交和军事冲突，而另一些争端则不存在这种冲突; 3）国际争端何时可以通过妥协或单方面让步来解决？ 假设来自博弈论模型，然后通过一系列统计分析，对1918-1990年国际争端的历史数据进行了系统的检验。 该项目的理论重点是研究民主政治制度和冲突解决规范如何影响国家领导人的外交政策决定。 关于民主与外交政策之间关系的命题将来自外交政策决策的一般模型，该模型将现实主义和最近的国内政治方法的见解与国际关系研究相结合。 ***

9511005 Huth In this project a game-theoretic approach is used to explain: 1) when international disputes over political-security issues will emerge between states; 2) why some international disputes involve high levels of diplomatic and military conflict whereas in other disputes such conflict is absent; 3) when will international disputes be settled by compromise or unilateral concessions? Hypotheses are derived from a game-theoretic model and then systematically tested against historical data on international disputes between 1918-1990 by a series of statistical analyses. The theoretical focus of the project is to examine how democratic political institutions and norms of conflict resolution affect the foreign policy decisions of state leaders. Propositions on the relationship between democracy and foreign policy will be derived from a general model of foreign policy decision making which integrates insights from both realism and recent domestic politics approaches to the study of international relations. ***