Doctoral Dissertation Research: Regions, Contexts and Political Changes in Italy, 1989-1996

科罗拉多州博尔德市的Shin，Michael U。这项提案从地理角度审视意大利中部政治态度和行为的性质、形成和延续。重点是意大利左翼的两个主要政党，以及背景效应或发生在地方内部和地方之间的众多社会、经济和政治进程和互动如何影响态度和行为。需要解决的主要问题是，在邻里效应和强迫场偏见的概念背后隐藏着什么样的政治和社会机制和过程。这项研究将制定一个确定和评估背景影响的方法学框架。这项研究将利用档案普查和选举数据来评估行为的主要空间效应。综合统计分析和回归模型将用于检查社区内部和社区之间存在的空间关系，以及每个社区选民的属性，以了解意大利中部的政治支持情况。将在20至25个社区进行调查和访谈，以获得地方一级对社会进程和对政治行为的影响的比较。这项工作将通过确定重要的有影响力的社会过程，为关于政治行为的背景效应理论做出贡献。此外，它还将提出一种检测、确定和评估这种影响的方法，并可在其他地方复制。

Shin, Michael U. of Colorado, Boulder This proposal uses a geographic perspective to examine the nature, formation and succession of political attitudes and behavior in central Italy. The focus is on two major parties of the Italian left and how contextual effects or the numerous social, economic and political processes and interactions occurring within and between places influence attitudes and behavior. The major question to be addressed is what political and social mechanisms and processes lie behind the concepts of neighborhood effect and forced field bias. The research will develop a methodological framework for identifying and evaluating contextual effects. The study will utilize archival census and election data to assess major spatial effects in behavior. Both aggregate statistical analysis and regression modeling will be used to examine the spatial relations that exist within and between communes, along with the attributes of the voters of each commune, to understand political support in central Italy. Surveys and interviews in 20 to 25 communes will be undertaken to obtain local-level comparisons of social processes and influences on political behavior. The work will contribute to a theory of contextual effects with respect to political behavior by identifying important influential social processes. In addition it will present a methodology that detects, identifies and evaluates such effects and which can be replicated elsewhere.