CAREER: Technology R&D Policy, Climate Change, and Uncertainty

职业：技术研发

• 批准号: 0745161
• 负责人: Erin Baker
• 金额: $ 43.39万
• 依托单位: University of Massachusetts Amherst
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Continuing Grant
• 财政年份: 2008
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2008-09-01 至 2014-08-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=0745161&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: CAREER; Technology; R& Policy; Climate

This CAREER project addresses issues related to decision making under uncertainty for climate change. Specifically, the overall objective is to apply science to science policy, to improve the analysis and evaluation of alternate portfolios of technology R&D programs in response to climate change. The specific research objectives are: (1) Investigate the optimal technology R&D portfolio in the face of uncertain climate change, using data derived from prior expert elicitations, and using a multiple model approach; and (2) Provide a vehicle for communication to policy makers and the public, through the design and testing of a decision support system (DSS) aimed at the evaluation of technology R&D portfolios in response to climate change. The specific teaching objectives are: (1) Provide a forum for informal education, putting the DSS on the web next to a carbon footprint calculator, introducing the public to key concepts in climate change, energy technologies, and uncertainty; (2) Prepare case studies appropriate for operations research students at both the graduate and undergraduate level; (3) Provide decision support, including training and information on decision making under uncertainty, to policy makers and stakeholders through the decision tool.

这个职业生涯项目解决气候变化不确定性下的决策相关问题。具体而言，总体目标是将科学应用于科学政策，以改善对应对气候变化的技术研发计划替代组合的分析和评估。具体的研究目标是：（1）调查最佳的技术研发组合，面对不确定的气候变化，使用数据来自以前的专家启发，并使用多模型的方法;和（2）提供一个工具，通过设计和测试的决策支持系统（DSS），旨在评估技术研发组合，以应对气候变化的政策制定者和公众的沟通。具体的教学目标是：（1）提供一个非正式教育的论坛，将决策支持系统放在网上，旁边是一个碳足迹计算器，向公众介绍气候变化、能源技术和不确定性的关键概念;（2）准备适合研究生和本科生的运筹学学生的案例研究;（3）通过决策工具向决策者和利益攸关方提供决策支持，包括在不确定情况下进行决策的培训和信息。