Collaborative Research WSC Category 2: Anticipating water scarcity and informing integrative water system response in the Pacific Northwest

WSC 合作研究类别 2：预测西北太平洋地区的水资源短缺并提供综合水系统响应信息

• 批准号: 1039192
• 负责人: Anne Nolin
• 金额: $ 383.24万
• 依托单位: Oregon State University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2010
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2010-10-01 至 2016-09-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1039192&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Collaborative; Research; WSC; Category; Anticipating

Oregon State University (OSU), the University of Oregon (UO), and Portland State University (PSU) are collaborating on a comprehensive, highly integrated examination of hydrological, ecological, and socio-economic factors in the Willamette River Basin. The team is applying Envision, a theoretical framework developed at OSU, to evaluate how climate change, population growth, and economic growth will alter the availability and the use of water in the Willamette River Basin. Envision provides a computing environment in which state-of-the-art hydrological, ecological, and socio-economic models can interact synergistically. Envision also contains a multi-agent-based modeling component that enables it to represent the impact of human decision-making on landscape change. The team is addressing the following objectives:(1) Identify and quantify the linkages and feedbacks among hydrologic, ecological, and socioeconomic dimensions of the water system.(2) Determine where and when climate change and human activities will create water scarcities.(3) Evaluate a broad range of strategies that could enable this region to prevent, mitigate, or adapt to water scarcities.(4) Create a transferable method of predicting where climate change will create water scarcities in other regions and where those scarcities would exert the strongest impact on human society.The team is collaborating with public officials, resource managers, and other stakeholders with strong interest in protecting ecosystems and water resources. Commissioners from the thirteen counties that make up the Willamette River Basin, as well as representatives of the Governor's Office, the Oregon Water Resources Department, the Oregon Watershed Enhancement Board, and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, are involved to help to understand their needs and perspectives, to identify scenarios, and to interpret results. Working with these public officials, the team will help them translate the results of the research into planning and decision making processes.The team is preparing to disseminate Envision through some UNESCO HELP basins. In the outyears, the team will work with the UNESCO-IHE Institute for Water Education, to transfer Envision to researchers in UNESCO HELP basins, possibly including the Blue Nile in Ethiopia and the Olifants River in South Africa.

俄勒冈州大学（OSU）、俄勒冈州大学（UO）和波特兰州立大学（PSU）正在合作对威拉米特河流域的水文、生态和社会经济因素进行全面、高度综合的研究。 该团队正在应用OSU开发的理论框架Envision来评估气候变化，人口增长和经济增长将如何改变威拉米特河流域的水资源可用性和使用。Envision提供了一个计算环境，其中最先进的水文，生态和社会经济模型可以协同互动。Envision还包含一个基于多代理的建模组件，使其能够代表人类决策对景观变化的影响。该小组正在处理以下目标：（1）确定和量化水系统的水文，生态和社会经济层面之间的联系和反馈。(2)确定气候变化和人类活动将在何时何地造成水资源短缺。(3)评估一系列广泛的战略，使该地区能够预防，缓解或适应水资源短缺。(4)创建一个可转移的方法来预测气候变化将在哪些地区造成其他地区的水资源短缺，以及这些短缺将在哪些地区对人类社会产生最大的影响。该团队正在与政府官员、资源管理人员和其他对保护生态系统和水资源有浓厚兴趣的利益相关者合作。来自威拉米特河流域13个县的专员以及州长办公室、俄勒冈州水资源部、俄勒冈州流域改善委员会和美国陆军工程兵团的代表参与了该项目，以帮助了解他们的需求和观点，确定方案并解释结果。该小组将与这些政府官员合作，帮助他们将研究结果转化为规划和决策过程，并准备通过教科文组织HELP的一些流域传播远景规划。在今后几年中，该小组将与教科文组织-国际基础结构、水利和环境工程学院水教育研究所合作，向教科文组织HELP流域（可能包括埃塞俄比亚的青尼罗河和南非的奥利凡特河）的研究人员转让Envision。