Financial Mathematics: Nonlinear Problems and Systemic Risk

金融数学：非线性问题和系统性风险

• 批准号: 1107468
• 负责人: Jean-Pierre Fouque
• 金额: $ 28万
• 依托单位: University of California-Santa Barbara
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2011
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2011-07-01 至 2014-06-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1107468&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Financial; Mathematics; Nonlinear; Problems; Systemic

In the first project, it is proposed to establish new results in the theory of asymptotic analysis and homogenization of nonlinear partial partial differential equations with direct applications to several important and practical problems faced by practitioners in the financial industry. These problems include risk management under uncertain volatility, behavior of implied volatilities at short maturities, and portfolio optimization under stochastic volatility. In the second project, it is proposed to develop new models based on systems of interacting diffusions where the coupling is modeled in the drifts through lending preferences. Combined with sophisticated Monte Carlo methods, including interacting particle system methods, these models will allow to study the stability of the system and the various statistical quantities relevant to systemic risk of a network.Challenging nonlinear problems arising naturally in the context of risk management under uncertain or randomly fluctuating volatility are addressed in the first project. This research has direct applications to practical problems faced by practitioners in the financial industry. The second project is a new direction of research on systemic risk and mathematical analysis of the stability (or instability) of our banking system. The recent financial crisis has revealed a lack of understanding of the risk of cascade of defaults in banking networks. It is proposed to develop new models which will allow to study the stability of the system and the various statistical quantities relevant to systemic risk of a network. This research, including its training component, is expected to contribute to the effort started by the regulators in the recent creation of the Office of Financial Research.

在第一个项目中，建议建立新的结果，在理论上的渐近分析和均匀化的非线性偏微分方程与直接应用到几个重要的和实际的问题所面临的从业者在金融业。这些问题包括不确定波动率下的风险管理、短期内隐含波动率的行为以及随机波动率下的投资组合优化。在第二个项目中，建议开发新的模型的基础上相互作用的扩散系统的耦合是通过贷款偏好的漂移建模。结合复杂的蒙特卡罗方法，包括相互作用粒子系统方法，这些模型将允许研究系统的稳定性和各种统计量相关的系统性风险的network.Excelling的非线性问题的风险管理的背景下自然产生的不确定性或随机波动的波动在第一个项目中解决。这项研究直接应用于金融业从业人员面临的实际问题。第二个项目是关于系统性风险和我国银行体系稳定性（或不稳定性）的数学分析的一个新的研究方向。最近的金融危机表明，人们对银行网络中一连串违约的风险缺乏了解。建议开发新的模型，这将允许研究系统的稳定性和网络的系统性风险相关的各种统计量。这项研究，包括其培训部分，预计将有助于监管机构在最近成立金融研究办公室时开始的努力。