Collaborative Research: Forum for Arctic Modeling and Observational Synthesis (FAMOS)

合作研究：北极模拟和观测综合论坛（FAMOS）

• 批准号: 1313614
• 负责人: Andrey Proshutinsky
• 金额: $ 51.14万
• 依托单位: Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2013
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2013-09-01 至 2016-08-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1313614&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Collaborative; Research; Forum; Arctic; Modeling

The overall goal of FAMOS is a better understanding of the arctic climate system (with a focus on the marine environment) through the use of improving numerical models and observational tactics and strategies. The FAMOS project is focused on enhancing collaboration and coordination among arctic marine modelers, theoreticians, and observationalists. International teams of such scientists are represented at all levels of project activities starting from generating hypotheses, to planning, and to finalizing analyses. This work will be managed via teleconferences, virtual workshops, newsletters, and annual workshops with 1-2 day schools for young and developing arctic researchers. FAMOS will support synthesis across the suite of arctic models and observations by (i) Holding scientific workshops and schools for new investigators including virtual teleconferences; (ii) Creating teams of modelers, theoreticians, and observationalists to work on topical issues of arctic sea ice and oceanic dynamics and thermodynamics; (iii) Conducting collaboration with other similar projects focused on other aspects of arctic/global climate (atmospheric, terrestrial, cryospheric); (iv) Disseminating findings to broader communities and involve the larger community in discussions, coordinated modeling and observational field experiments; (v) Training a new generation of ocean and sea-ice observationalists and modelers.Intellectual Merit: Although the future focus of FAMOS projects will depend to a large degree on the interests of its participants, the vision is that there will be three broad areas of interest. The first area includes the use of observations for model forcing (including initial and boundary conditions) and validation. The second area is improvement of model numerics and parameterization of different processes (e.g. mixing, advection, eddy-driven processes) and implementation of new methods/algorithms/physics. The third area of model improvement will be the inclusion of processes important for the Arctic (e.g. fresh water dynamics, slope/basin exchange, wave-ice interaction, and CO2 air-sea flux, ecosystem changes). These research themes specifically address the the major program question ?What do changes in the arctic system imply for the future?? and to understand the behavior of the arctic system? past, present, and future.Broader Impacts: FAMOS is an important and unique component of present-day arctic studies because it will help improve our understanding of oceanic and sea-ice processes. From this view point, the most significant FAMOS contributions will be: development of a regional and improvement of global climate models; identification of model errors and causes of these errors and model discrepancies, recommendations for improvements of existing regional coupled ice-ocean models and GCMs by implementing new physics and parameterizations for arctic processes. The coordinated community approach to the investigation of Arctic Ocean variability is the only way to assess the degree of uncertainty in results and conclusions made by different modelers, scientific groups, or institutions. One of the highest impacts of the FAMOS activity is educational (including the FAMOS school) because it promotes the growth of young scientists participating in the project, provides guidelines for critical analysis of the existing models, and fruitful improvements and developments of the arctic models by a new generation of arctic modelers.

海洋气候观测系统的总体目标是通过使用改进的数值模式和观测战术和战略，更好地了解北极气候系统(重点是海洋环境)。FAMOS项目的重点是加强北极海洋模型师、理论家和天文学家之间的合作和协调。这些科学家组成的国际团队参与了项目活动的各个层面，从产生假设到规划，再到最后完成分析。这项工作将通过电话会议、虚拟研讨会、时事通讯以及为年轻和发展中的北极研究人员开设1-2所日制学校的年度研讨会来管理。FAMOS将通过以下方式支持北极一整套模型和观测的综合：(1)为新的研究人员举办科学讲习班和学校，包括举行虚拟电话会议；(2)建立模型师、理论家和观测者团队，就北极海冰、海洋动力学和热力学等专题开展工作；(3)与侧重于北极/全球气候(大气、陆地、冰冻圈)其他方面的其他类似项目开展合作；(4)向更广泛的社区传播研究结果，并让更多的社区参与讨论、协调建模和观测实地实验；(5)培养新一代海洋和海冰观测人员和模型人员。智力优势：尽管FAMOS项目未来的重点将在很大程度上取决于其参与者的利益，但其愿景是将有三个广泛的感兴趣领域。第一个领域包括使用观测值进行模式强迫(包括初始和边界条件)和验证。第二个领域是模式数值的改进和不同过程(例如混合、平流、涡流驱动的过程)的参数化以及新方法/算法/物理的实施。模式改进的第三个领域将是纳入对北极重要的过程(例如淡水动态、坡度/盆地交换、波-冰相互作用、二氧化碳气海通量、生态系统变化)。这些研究主题具体解决了主要的计划问题？北极系统的变化对未来意味着什么？以及理解北极系统的行为？过去、现在和未来：饥荒是当今北极研究中一个重要而独特的组成部分，因为它将有助于提高我们对海洋和海冰过程的理解。从这一角度来看，海洋气候观测系统最重要的贡献将是：发展区域气候模式和改进全球气候模式；查明模式误差和这些误差和模式差异的原因；建议通过实施北极过程的新物理和参数，改进现有的区域冰-海耦合模式和全球气候机制。对北冰洋变异性的调查采用社区协调办法，是评估不同模型师、科学团体或机构得出的结果和结论的不确定性程度的唯一途径。FAMOS活动的最大影响之一是教育(包括FAMOS学校)，因为它促进了参与该项目的年轻科学家的成长，为对现有模型的批判性分析提供了指导，并由新一代北极模型建模者对北极模型进行了卓有成效的改进和发展。