RAPID: Amplifying threats during cascading crises: Media's role in shaping psychological responses to the war in Ukraine

RAPID：在级联危机期间放大威胁：媒体在塑造对乌克兰战争的心理反应方面的作用

• 批准号: 2224341
• 负责人: Roxane Silver
• 金额: $ 17.47万
• 依托单位: University of California-Irvine
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2022
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2022-05-01 至 2024-04-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=2224341&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: RAPID; Amplifying; threats; during; cascading

On February 24, 2022, Russia invaded Ukraine with hostile force, starting the most intense military conflict in Europe since World War II and leading to thousands of injuries and deaths and over 4 million Ukrainian refugees in the first month of the war. Reports of this international geopolitical crisis have instantaneously flooded traditional and social media outlets with graphic videos and images of injuries, death, and destruction – media coverage known to correlate with poor physical and mental health outcomes. But the Ukraine War is occurring in the broader context of the COVID-19 pandemic whose worldwide death toll exceeds 6 million people, escalating climate-related crises, economic volatility and inflation, race-driven social unrest, extreme partisanship, and low confidence in the scientific and social institutions tasked with protecting the public. Direct and media-based exposure to these unprecedented cascading collective traumas are likely to have profound effects on the mental and physical health of Americans. Effective management of these compounding crises requires policies that people support and public adoption of recommended behaviors. This project assesses psychological reactions to the Ukraine War among a large probability-based nationally representative sample of over 6,500 Americans from the NORC AmeriSpeak panel. They have been surveyed three times since March 2020. Early responses and beliefs about the war in Ukraine are collected as the media transitions from heavy coverage of COVID-19 to heavy coverage of the conflict. Analyses examine how intolerance for uncertainty, emotion regulation, trust in government, and social identities may explain the association between media exposure and emotional, cognitive, and behavioral responses to the war. This study investigates how fears and worries about these multiple ongoing threats are compounding negative mental health outcomes and impacting those for whom this multiplicative effect is most detrimental. Finally, this project investigates how war-related media exposure may motivate people to take positive action (e.g., prosocial behavior) to help refugees and defend Ukraine’s democracy. Embedding this project in the larger study of the COVID-19 pandemic allows examination of national responses to compounding global crises as they evolve, producing theoretically rich research with practical importance. Results inform policy makers when communicating publicly about multiple existential threats and their potential solutions so they can better promote public well-being without inducing further worry, distress, or emotional exhaustion.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

2022年2月24日，俄罗斯以敌对力量入侵乌克兰，开始了二战以来欧洲最激烈的军事冲突，并在战争的第一个月导致数千人伤亡和400多万乌克兰难民。关于这场国际地缘政治危机的报道立即充斥着传统和社交媒体，其中充斥着受伤、死亡和破坏的视频和图像--众所周知，媒体报道与不良的身心健康结果有关。但乌克兰战争是在COVID-19大流行的更广泛背景下发生的，全球死亡人数超过600万人，气候相关危机不断升级，经济波动和通货膨胀，种族驱动的社会动荡，极端党派偏见，以及对负责保护公众的科学和社会机构的信心不足。直接和基于媒体的接触这些前所未有的级联集体创伤可能会对美国人的身心健康产生深远的影响。有效管理这些复杂的危机需要人们支持的政策和公众采纳建议的行为。该项目评估了来自NORC AmeriSpeak小组的6，500多名美国人的大型基于概率的全国代表性样本对乌克兰战争的心理反应。自2020年3月以来，他们已经接受了三次调查。随着媒体从对COVID-19的大量报道过渡到对冲突的大量报道，有关乌克兰战争的早期反应和信念被收集起来。分析研究如何不容忍的不确定性，情绪调节，对政府的信任，和社会身份可以解释媒体曝光和情感，认知和行为反应之间的关联战争。这项研究调查了对这些多重持续威胁的恐惧和担忧如何加剧负面的心理健康结果，并影响那些对这种倍增效应最有害的人。最后，这个项目调查了与战争有关的媒体曝光如何激励人们采取积极行动（例如，亲社会行为），以帮助难民和捍卫乌克兰的民主。将该项目嵌入到对COVID-19大流行的更大研究中，可以检查国家对复杂的全球危机的反应，因为它们正在演变，产生具有实际重要性的理论丰富的研究。研究结果为政策制定者在公开交流多种生存威胁及其潜在解决方案时提供了信息，以便他们能够更好地促进公众福祉，而不会引发进一步的担忧，痛苦或情绪疲惫。该奖项反映了NSF的法定使命，并通过使用基金会的知识价值和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估而被认为值得支持。