DICES - Dealing with change in SIDS: societal action and political reaction in sea level change adaptation in Small Island Developing States

DICES - 应对小岛屿发展中国家的变化：小岛屿发展中国家适应海平面变化的社会行动和政治反应

• 批准号: 313853400
• 负责人: Professorin Dr. Beate M.W. Ratter
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: Institut für Geographie (IGeogr)
• 依托单位国家: 德国
• 项目类别: Priority Programmes
• 财政年份: 2016
• 资助国家: 德国
• 起止时间: 2015-12-31 至 2020-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/313853400?language=en
• 关键词: DICES; Dealing; change; SIDS; societal

The project DICES (Dealing with change in SIDS) analyses and develops options for the implementation of local coastal protection measures in Small Island Developing States (SIDS). Implementing coastal protection measures is considered a necessary adaptation strategy in the context of projected sea level rise and the significant impact it is likely to have on society. An interdisciplinary team of coastal engineers, environmental economists and integrated geographers will use carefully selected case studies to (1) analyse the nature of societal action in its cultural embeddedness, (2) identify low-regret strategies as potential coastal protection measures and (3) investigate local people`s willingness to engage in the implementation of these measures. Formal and informal institutions are as important for the active implementation of adaptation strategies as coastal communities` willingness to engage in alternative concepts of coastal protection and related potential infrastructural arrangements. Therefore, DICES particularly focuses on the societal framework conditions and political reactions under which adaptation strategies are perceived and embraced.Based on case studies in two different SIDS, existing governance structures will be investigated and compared to potential options for action derived from probabilistic pathway design. While the Maldives represent a mostly top-down approach to governance, Papua New Guinea has very specific political and societal structures and is organized in a bottom-up approach which strongly relies on civic engagement.The methods applied range from household surveys, choice and field experiments, numerical modelling to focus group discussions with policy entrepreneurs active in the field of coastal protection. The different methodological approaches will be developed in an integrative process and implemented concurrently in both case studies. Similarities and differences will be analyzed and the interdisciplinary interconnection of the methods package applied critically examined. Overall, DICES will make a significant contribution to case study oriented analyses that deal with the barriers and potentials of sea level rise and respective local coping strategies. The transferability of DICES findings will be analysed, and findings incorporated in the international discussion related to sea level change in SIDS.

DICES（应对小岛屿发展中国家的变化）项目分析并制定了在小岛屿发展中国家实施地方沿海保护措施的备选方案。在预计的海平面上升及其可能对社会产生的重大影响的背景下，执行沿海保护措施被认为是一项必要的适应战略。一个由海岸工程师、环境经济学家和综合地理学家组成的跨学科团队将使用精心挑选的案例研究来（1）分析社会行动在其文化嵌入中的性质，（2）确定低遗憾战略作为潜在的海岸保护措施，（3）调查当地人民参与实施这些措施的意愿。正式和非正式机构对于积极执行适应战略的重要性，与沿海社区参与沿海保护替代概念和相关潜在基础设施安排的意愿一样重要。因此，DICES特别侧重于社会框架条件和政治反应，在此基础上，适应战略被理解和接受，在两个不同的小岛屿发展中国家的案例研究的基础上，现有的治理结构将进行调查，并比较从概率路径设计派生的潜在行动选择。马尔代夫的治理大多采用自上而下的方式，而巴布亚新几内亚的政治和社会结构非常具体，采用自下而上的方式组织起来，在很大程度上依赖公民参与，所采用的方法包括家庭调查、选择和实地试验、数字建模以及与活跃在沿海保护领域的政策企业家进行重点小组讨论。不同的方法将在一个综合过程中制定，并在两个案例研究中同时实施。相似性和差异将进行分析和跨学科的相互联系的方法包应用严格审查。总的来说，DICES将对以个案研究为导向的分析作出重大贡献，这些分析涉及海平面上升的障碍和潜力以及各自的地方应对战略。将分析DICES调查结果的可转移性，并将调查结果纳入有关小岛屿发展中国家海平面变化的国际讨论。