Modeling of Anthropogenic Green House Gases and their reduction

人为温室气体建模及其减排

• 批准号: 04832026
• 负责人: MATSUOKA Yuzuru
• 金额: $ 1.28万
• 依托单位: KYOTO UNIVERSITY
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for General Scientific Research (C)
• 财政年份: 1992
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 1992 至 1993
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/en/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-04832026/
• 关键词: Climatic change; Global warming; Energy consumption; Energy model; Bottom-up model; グローバルモデル

Data assembling and modeling of energy comsamption of developed and developing countries were executed. Energy consumed in Residential, industrial and transport sectors were the main targets of this study. Major effort was focused in Japan, China as well as East, South Asia countries, and detailed information about energy apparatus from the view points of technological and economical was assembled.Based of this information, bottom-up type energy model was constructed, which estimates the energy facilities choice and their consequent consumed energy amount under alternative social and economical scenarios. Linear programming method and its derivative were used in order to determine optimum choice of candidate energy facilities. High sensitivity of social discount rate of facility determination on future carbon dioxide emission was disclosed.

对发达国家和发展中国家的能源消耗进行了数据收集和建模。住宅、工业和交通部门的能源消耗是本研究的主要目标。主要工作集中在日本、中国以及东亚、南亚国家，从技术和经济角度收集了有关能源设备的详细信息。基于这些信息，构建了自下而上的能源模型，该模型估计了替代社会和经济情景下的能源设施选择及其随后消耗的能源量。使用线性规划方法及其导数来确定候选能源设施的最佳选择。披露了设施确定的社会贴现率对未来二氧化碳排放的高敏感性。

项目成果

松岡 譲: "地球温暖化に関するシナリオとモデル解析" 土木学会論文集. 449/IV-17. 1-16 (1992)

Yuzuru Matsuoka：“关于全球变暖的情景和模型分析”日本土木工程师学会会议记录 449/IV-16 (1992)。

Yuzuru Matsuoka: "Future of the Global Environmental Problems" Kankyo Gijutsu. Vol.20. 739-748 (1991)

松冈结弦：“全球环境问题的未来”Kankyo Gijutsu。

松岡譲 森田恒幸: "地球環境と人口変化の係わりに関する二、三の検討" 環境システム研究. 21. 72-80 (1993)

Yuzuru Matsuoka 和 Tsuneyuki Morita：“关于全球环境与人口变化之间关系的一些思考”环境系统研究 21. 72-80 (1993)。