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Investigation on the relation between "pulling down of Keiretu" and the changes of regional agglomeration of automobile industory in Japan

“Keiretu的拉低”与日本汽车产业区域集聚变化的关系调查

基本信息

批准号：
16530154
负责人：
FUJIWARA Sadao
金额：
$ 1.92万
依托单位：
Yamaguchi University
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
财政年份：
2004
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
2004 至 2006
项目状态：
已结题

项目摘要

1. Purpose of this research is to analyze the changes of regional agglomeration of automobile industry in Japan at period on the 21st beginning of century from 1990's in order to take the theoretical and policy making suggestion for regional economic policy.2. Basing on to On Census manufactures of 1990 and 2002, 22 industry district where agglomerated auto sector were taken out of the whole country and 25 city and towns where the main car plants existed were assumed to be a model and the statistical verification between industry districts and city and towns was done.3. From the examination of difference of mean value of the economic power between 25 city/ town and 113 city/town which population scale is almost equal of the same prefecture, it was verified that a significant difference was not admitted in the growth rate 1990-2002 though it was confirmed that economic power of 25 city/town was higher than that of 113 city/town in both ages in both 2002 and 1990.4. It was statistically … More verified whether the correlation 1990-2004 was admitted between the change of economic power of 21 model city/town and the change of the amount of the shipment and the employed person etc of the auto sector of each industrial district to that the city/town belongs. The examination showed that the case for the correlation to be admitted and the case not admitted existed together, and admitted result was not fragra-nt as a whole. Then, to clarify the background of the presence of the correlation of auto sector agglomerated city and town, the concrete analysis was done for 17 of 21 city/town.5. The result of the research shows the following. That is, the hollowing phenomena at city/town level doesn't cause, and the car industry agglomerated region will decline gradually at the same time in the future. Moreover, the economic profit of the existence to be mutually near the factory will gradually become small by the development of IT and logistics. As a result, the outline of the agglomeration space will become vague.The agglomeration district will be gradually distributed to the whole country. Hierarchy between the agglomeration district will become more extreme at the same time. Less

1.本研究的目的在于分析21世纪初至20世纪90年代日本汽车产业区域集聚的变化，为区域经济政策的制定提供理论和政策建议.以1990年和2002年的工业普查数据为基础，从全国范围内选取汽车产业集聚的22个工业区和主要汽车厂所在的25个城镇作为模型，进行了工业区与城镇之间的统计验证.通过对同一地区人口规模相近的25个市（镇）与113个市（镇）的经济实力均值差异的检验，经验证，1990-2002年的增长率没有显著差异，但证实了25个市/镇的经济实力高于113个市/镇。2002年和1990年两个年龄段的城市。具有统计学 ...更多信息验证了1990-2004年21个示范市（镇）经济实力的变化与其所属各工业区汽车行业的出货量、就业人数等变化之间是否存在相关性。检查结果显示，相关性应收病例与未收病例同时存在，收结果整体不一致。然后，为阐明汽车产业集聚市镇相关性存在的背景，对21个市镇中的17个市镇进行了具体分析.研究结果表明：也就是说，在城市/镇级空心化现象不会出现的同时，汽车产业集聚区在未来将逐渐衰退。而且，由于信息技术和物流的发展，相互靠近工厂的存在的经济利润将逐渐变小。其结果是，集聚空间的轮廓将变得模糊，集聚区将逐渐向全国分布。同时集聚区之间的等级制度也将变得更加极端。少