Effect of the increase of old-old people on macro savings rate and social security policy

老年人口增加对宏观储蓄率和社会保障政策的影响

• 批准号: 16530195
• 负责人: TAKAHASHI Nobuaki
• 金额: $ 1.66万
• 依托单位: Ritsumeikan University
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• 财政年份: 2004
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 2004 至 2006
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/en/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-16530195/
• 关键词: aging; old-old; the rate of saving; medical insurance; care insurance; public pension; birthrate; welfare state; 人口構造; 少子化; 社会保障; 前期高齢者

In past research, postponing the issue on rapid aging in Japan arising in an aging society where people over the age of 75 become the major part of a serious aging society has been overlooked.In fact, focusing on elderly people over 65, the population-aging rate (the population ratio which people over 65 occupy in total population) reached 17.3% and the number of elderly people rose to 22 million by 2000. But disaggregating the data, 13 million were people aged 65-74 occupying 60% and 9 million were people over the age of 75 who gradually found difficulty in self-reliance, occupying 40%, less than the people of the age of 65-74.However according to the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, people over the age of 75 continue to increase while people of the age of 65-74 will decrease peaking at around 2015, the ratio of the two is expected to reverse around 2020.Aging in Japan at the end of 20^<th> century was no more than a transition period to the serious aging … More society. Presumed reasons here are the delay in development of social security policy which targets people over the age of 75 in increasing demands for medical and caring, or in the savings rate which in the West showed a downward tendency along with the aging of the population but did not go down and hovered at a high standard in Japan even after the 1990's when the aging of the population was proceeding.Given these factors, this research focused on differences in economics, health, and other issues between people of the age of 65-74 and people over the age of 75, and analyzed the impact which coming of serious aging society will have on the savings rate and social security. As a result, it became apparent that the decline of Japan's savings rate has its background in the increase of people over the age of 75 whose unemployment ratio is high, and also there is a need for taking the increase of people over the age of 75 into consideration for medical, caring and pension plan reform.Moreover, halting the long-term decline of birthrate is an important action towards a serious aging society and to that end, indigenous "ethos (atmosphere)" in Japanese society, which makes it a difficulty for working women to achieve a balance between bearing/raising children and working, also needs to be improved. Including the clarification of the "ethos (atmosphere)" I would hereafter like to proceed to a more specific study in the agenda. Less

在以往的研究中，人们忽视了75岁以上的老年人成为老龄化严重社会的主体的老龄化社会所产生的日本快速老龄化问题的滞后性。实际上，以65岁以上的老年人为中心，人口老龄化率（65岁以上人口占总人口的比例）达到17.3%，到2000年老年人口增加到2200万。但若将数据分解，65-74岁的人有1300万人，占60%，75岁以上的人有900万人，他们逐渐发现自立困难，占40%，低于65- 74岁的人。75岁以上人口继续增加，65-74岁人口将减少，2015年左右达到峰值，预计2020年左右两者比例将逆转。20^世纪末的日本老龄<th>化不过是向严重老龄化过渡的时期 ...更多信息 社会这可能是因为以75岁以上的老年人为对象的医疗、护理需求的增加导致的社会保障政策的发展滞后，或者是因为在西方，随着人口老龄化的发展沿着出现了下降的趋势，而在日本，即使在90年代以后，随着人口老龄化的发展，储蓄率也没有下降，而是一直保持在较高的水平上。本研究针对六十五至七十四岁与七十五岁以上的人在经济、健康等问题上的差异，分析了严重高龄化社会的到来对储蓄率和社会保障的影响。由此可见，日本储蓄率下降的背景是失业率高的75岁以上人口增加，医疗、护理、养老金计划改革也有必要考虑到75岁以上人口的增加。遏制出生率的长期下降是应对严重老龄化社会的一项重要行动，为此，（氛围）”，这使得职业女性很难在生育/抚养孩子和工作之间取得平衡，也需要得到改善。在澄清“精神（气氛）”之后，我将着手进行议程中更具体的研究。少

项目成果

少子高齢化の死角

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• 发表时间: 2005
• 期刊: Minerva Publishing Co. Ltd
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• 发表时间: 2007
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• 发表时间: 2005
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• 通讯作者: 高橋伸彰

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• 发表时间: 2005
• 期刊: Iwanami Shoten