Evaluation of the Systems Risks in the Municipal Solid Waste Management system and Their Reduction

城市固体废物管理系统的系统风险评估及其降低

• 批准号: 06452282
• 负责人: MORISAWA Shinsuke
• 金额: $ 4.67万
• 依托单位: KYOTO UNIVERSITY
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
• 财政年份: 1994
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 1994 至 1996
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-06452282/
• 关键词: municipal solid waste management system; mathematical model; system's risk; risk index; The Nagasaki Heavr Rain Disaster; The Great Hanshin-Awaji Disaster; system's model; disaster solid waste; リスク原因事象; 清掃工場

The purposes of this study is to get the quantitative information for improvement of the municipal solid waste management system to the risk-elastic system by simulating the potential risk propagations through the system under the condition of usual and accidental situations. The present Japanese municipal solid waste management system was classified into catogories, e. g., the recycle and reuse type, intensive incineration type, the all waste landfill type and so on, to get effective information to reduce the potential system's risks.Risk couse factors and risk indices were specified and the dynamic performances of the municipal solid waste was simulated by proposed mathematical model to examine the validity and utility of the model. The Nagasaki Heavy Rain Disaster and the Great Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake were selected for the case studies. Disaster solid wastes flow/stock was analyzed by the mathematical model and those risk reduction options such as temporal solid waste storage yard, eemporal solid waste crush/incineration plant, incorporation of resources recycling/reuse were discussed for their quantitative effectiveness for risk reduction.The study for the these three years was summarized and publishied as the book-style report.

本研究的目的是通过模拟城市生活垃圾管理系统在正常和意外情况下的潜在风险传播，获得将城市生活垃圾管理系统提升为风险弹性系统的定量信息。将日本现有的城市生活垃圾管理系统分为回收再利用型、集中焚烧型、全垃圾填埋型等，以获取有效信息，降低系统的潜在风险。通过定义风险过程因素和风险指标，对城市生活垃圾的动态特性进行了模拟，验证了该数学模型的有效性和实用性。选择长崎暴雨灾害和阪神-浅路大地震作为案例研究。利用数学模型对灾害固体废物流/存量进行了分析，讨论了临时固体废物堆场、临时固体废物粉碎/焚烧厂、合并资源回收/再利用等降低风险的方案对降低风险的量化有效性。对这三年的研究进行了总结，并以书式报告的形式发表。

项目成果

Shinsuke Morisawa et als.: "Recycling of paper resources and paper waste treatment, Preliminary resources, cost and energy analysis of waste paper recycling, J.the Japan Soc." Waste Management Experts. Vol.6, No.4. 139-148 (1995)

Shinsuke Morisawa 等人：“纸张资源的回收和纸张废物处理，废纸回收的初步资源、成本和能源分析，J.the Japan Soc。”

森澤眞輔他2名: "紙資源の循環再利用と廃棄物処理" 廃棄物学会論文誌. 6・4. 139-148 (1995)

Shinsuke Morisawa 等 2 人：“纸张资源的回收和废物处理”日本废物管理学会杂志 6・4（1995 年）。

森澤眞輔: "水害時における一般廃棄物処理と処理システムのリスク軽減" 廃棄物学会論文誌. 7. 8-17 (1996)

Shinsuke Morisawa：“洪水灾害期间一般废物处理和处理系统的风险降低”，日本废物管理协会杂志，7. 8-17 (1996)。

森澤眞輔他2名: "紙資源の循環再利用と廃棄物処理" 廃棄物学会論文誌. 6 (4). 139-148 (1995)

Shinsuke Morisawa 等 2 人：“纸张资源的回收和废物处理”日本废物管理协会杂志 6（4）（1995）。

森澤眞輔: "紙資源の循環再利用と廃棄物処理" 廃棄物学会論文誌. 6. 139-148 (1995)

Shinsuke Morisawa：“纸张资源的回收和废物处理”日本废物管理协会杂志 6. 139-148 (1995)。